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2017 International Conference on Grey Systems and Intelligent Services (GSIS)最新文献

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Several problems need to be studied in grey system theory 灰色系统理论有几个问题需要研究
Pub Date : 2017-10-26 DOI: 10.1109/GSIS.2017.8077658
Sifeng Liu, Changhai Lin, Yingjie Yang
The problems which remain for further studying in grey system theory are identified. Including the synthesis axiom of degree of greyness for “multiplication” and “division”, how to construct and select a suitable buffer operator? how to select and test a grey prediction model? how to build a negative grey incidence analysis models? the test rules and criteria of grey clustering evaluation models, and on consensus and unified definition of grey combined models, etc.
指出了灰色系统理论有待进一步研究的问题。包括“乘法”和“除法”的灰度度综合公理,如何构造和选择合适的缓冲算子?如何选择和检验灰色预测模型?如何建立负灰色关联分析模型?灰色聚类评价模型的检验规则和准则,灰色组合模型的一致性和统一定义等。
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引用次数: 10
Predictive modeling of the severity/progression of alzheimer's diseases 阿尔茨海默病严重程度/进展的预测模型
Pub Date : 2017-08-09 DOI: 10.1109/GSIS.2017.8077739
R. Qiu, Jason L. Qiu, Y. Badr
Alzheimer's disease (AD) cannot be cured or slowed down with today's medication. Scientific studies have found that 1) the progression of AD is highly correlated to a cognition decline, 2) cognition drop is a precursor of Alzheimer's disease, and 3) making lifestyle changes and training the brain can slow down AD progression. This project aims to develop a predictive model to know the progression of an AD patient. Factors that influence the disease's severity and progression are determined, which would help facilitate developing a set of personalized care instructions to guide individuals in making the necessary lifestyle choices to retain or rejuvenate their brain's cognitive ability. Ultimately, the developed model can be potentially incorporated into a convenient self-diagnostic tool for the public to use at home.
阿尔茨海默病(AD)不能用今天的药物治愈或减缓。科学研究发现,1)阿尔茨海默病的进展与认知能力下降高度相关,2)认知能力下降是阿尔茨海默病的前兆,3)改变生活方式和训练大脑可以减缓阿尔茨海默病的进展。本项目旨在开发一种预测模型来了解AD患者的病情进展。确定了影响疾病严重程度和进展的因素,这将有助于制定一套个性化的护理指导,指导个人做出必要的生活方式选择,以保持或恢复大脑的认知能力。最终,开发的模型可能会被纳入一个方便的自我诊断工具,供公众在家中使用。
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引用次数: 8
A novel linguistic representative model based on discrete fuzzy numbers for multi-granularity linguistic decision-making 基于离散模糊数的多粒度语言决策语言代表模型
Pub Date : 2017-08-01 DOI: 10.1109/GSIS.2017.8077666
Mei Cai, Zaiwu Gong
Many decision-making problems use vague and imprecise information in linguistic variable formats as preferences. In this paper, we present a linguistic representative model based on discrete fuzzy numbers whose support is a subset of consecutive natural numbers. The arbitrary linguistic term is defined to give decision makers more freedom to express their preferences. The discrete fuzzy weighted normal operators defined on a finite chain in accordance with the granularity of linguistic term set are used to complete the aggregation process.
许多决策问题使用语言可变格式的模糊和不精确信息作为偏好。本文提出了一种基于离散模糊数的语言表征模型,该模型的支持是连续自然数的子集。定义任意的语言术语是为了给决策者更多的自由来表达他们的偏好。根据语言项集的粒度定义在有限链上的离散模糊加权正规算子来完成聚合过程。
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引用次数: 0
The applied research of grey relational analysis based on entropy weight 基于熵权的灰色关联分析的应用研究
Pub Date : 2017-08-01 DOI: 10.1109/GSIS.2017.8077681
Xiaojian Yuan, Qishan Zhang
As a new form of business, electronic commerce is becoming vital for Chinese economy. Due to the limited available information, the limited accuracy of the information and the limitations of the statistics methods, the traditional research methods are not effective. In this study, in order to provide guidance for the related decision making and research, the method of grey relational analysis (GRA) based on weight entropy is introduced to study the factors that influence the development of electronic commerce. At the same time, the relative degree of incidence is also introduced in this thesis to analyze the factors, and to obtain the factors which are more obvious for the development of electronic commerce. Then the grey similitude degree of incidence is used to further verify the results.
电子商务作为一种新型的商业形式,对中国经济的发展起着至关重要的作用。由于可获得的信息有限,信息的准确性有限,统计方法的局限性,传统的研究方法效果不佳。本研究引入基于权熵的灰色关联分析(GRA)方法,对影响电子商务发展的因素进行研究,为相关决策和研究提供指导。同时,本文还引入了影响电子商务发展的相对程度,对影响电子商务发展的因素进行了分析,得出了对电子商务发展影响较为明显的因素。然后用关联度的灰色相似度进一步验证结果。
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引用次数: 3
Recycling pricing of valuable WEEE based on hotelling model 基于hotelling模型的报废电子电气设备回收定价
Pub Date : 2017-08-01 DOI: 10.1109/GSIS.2017.8077725
Yuyu Chen, Bang-yi Li
Considering the convenience of third-party recycler, this paper uses the Hotelling competition model and the Stackelberg game to study the recycling competition between a producer and a third-party recycler in the waste electronic and electrical equipment (WEEE) recycling market. Stackelberg game theory is used to study the pricing decisions of recycling of WEEE for producer and third-party recycler under the conditions of non-competition, partial coverage competition and complete coverage competition. The results of the study show that the recycling prices of producer and recycler are not negatively related to the unit revenue. The market coverage is positively related to both sides' unit revenue. The producer's profit under full coverage with competition is always higher than the partial coverage with competition, and the profit of recycler depends on unit revenue.
考虑到第三方回收商的便利性,本文采用Hotelling竞争模型和Stackelberg博弈研究了报废电子电气设备(WEEE)回收市场中生产者与第三方回收商之间的回收竞争。运用Stackelberg博弈论研究了非竞争、部分覆盖竞争和完全覆盖竞争条件下报废电子电气设备生产者和第三方回收商的回收定价决策。研究结果表明,生产者和回收商的回收价格与单位收益不呈负相关。市场覆盖率与双方单位营收呈正相关。有竞争的完全覆盖条件下,生产者的利润总是高于有竞争的部分覆盖条件下的利润,回收商的利润取决于单位收入。
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引用次数: 0
Grey relational analysis on the relation between China's gdp and defense expenditure 中国gdp与国防费关系的灰色关联分析
Pub Date : 2017-08-01 DOI: 10.1109/GSIS.2017.8077680
Chaoqing Yuan, Yanan Zhang, Nuo Xu, Jun Xu
The relation between Chinese GDP and defense expenditure is investigated based on the data from 1978 to 2015, which is divided into four stages according to national defense development strategy evolution and defense spending growth rate. The results revealed that the absolute degree of grey incidence between defense expenditure and GDP is relatively small, illustrating defense expenditure exerts less pressure on the economy; on the other hand, the relative degree of grey incidence between defense expenditure and GDP is relative large, indicating that the economic growth is playing an important role in the development of national defense.
本文以1978 - 2015年的数据为基础,对中国GDP与国防费的关系进行了研究,根据国防发展战略演进和国防费增长率,将中国GDP与国防费的关系划分为四个阶段。结果表明:国防费与GDP的绝对灰色关联度相对较小,说明国防费对经济的压力较小;另一方面,国防费与国内生产总值的灰色关联度相对较大,说明经济增长对国防发展起着重要作用。
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引用次数: 2
Disease cost estimation model based on improved grey relational analysis and case-based reasoning 基于改进灰色关联分析和案例推理的疾病成本估算模型
Pub Date : 2017-08-01 DOI: 10.1109/GSIS.2017.8077668
Qishan Zhang, Xinhuan Huang, Hong Liu, Jinli Duan
Disease cost estimation is an important and challenging issue. It serves as the key factor of hospital cost and cost control. It has been a challenge to estimate the disease cost because of the complexity of the disease pathology, individual differences of treatment process, adverse drug reaction, and complications. Especially in some high risk and high noise diseases there is another challenge from small sample and poor data. Grey relational analysis is a kind of effective method to study small sample, and poor data. In this paper, an improved model based on grey relational analysis and case-based reasoning is proposed to estimate the disease cost. Firstly, the similarity on cost attributes is calculated through the grey relational analysis method. And then the optimal attribute weights is found with the cuckoo search algorithm and there are a few cases matching to the target case according to the similarity in the historical case database to estimate the cost of target case. At last the estimation accuracy using the improved model in experimental study of the cost estimation of simple appendicitis disease, cesarean section, and heart bypass surgery is compared with the three models respectively with Euclidean distance, Angle cosine, and Mahalanobis distance. The improved model is best on cost estimation precision, especially in small sample and disease with high risk and high noise.
疾病成本估算是一个重要而富有挑战性的问题。它是医院成本和成本控制的关键因素。由于疾病病理的复杂性、治疗过程的个体差异、药物不良反应和并发症,疾病成本的估算一直是一个挑战。特别是在一些高风险、高噪声的疾病中,还面临着样本小、数据差的挑战。灰色关联分析是研究小样本、差数据的一种有效方法。本文提出了一种基于灰色关联分析和案例推理的疾病成本估算模型。首先,通过灰色关联分析法计算成本属性的相似度;然后利用布谷鸟搜索算法找到最优的属性权重,根据历史案例数据库中的相似度找出与目标案例匹配的少数案例,估计目标案例的代价。最后,在单纯性阑尾炎、剖宫产和心脏旁路手术成本估算的实验研究中,分别与欧氏距离、角余弦距离和马氏距离三种模型的估算精度进行了比较。改进后的模型在成本估计精度上有较好的提高,特别是在小样本和高风险、高噪声疾病的情况下。
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引用次数: 1
Research on assessment of the economic and social development based on a two-stage grey cluster method 基于两阶段灰色聚类法的经济社会发展评价研究
Pub Date : 2017-08-01 DOI: 10.1109/GSIS.2017.8077714
Xiaqing Liu, N. Zhang, Zhigeng Fang
4 first-grade indicators and 13 second-grade indicators, which are selected by a two-stage grey cluster method from numerous factors such as those influencing the development of economy and society, infrastructure construction, and related industry development, constitute an assessment indicator system for evaluating regional economic and social development. Data was collected from 14 cities and prefectures of Xinjiang, a province of China, as a sample, and then an improved center points mixed triangle whitenization weight function was deployed to divide 14 cities and prefectures of Xinjiang into 4 groups, which provides the basis for economic and social development orientation of cities and prefectures in Xinjiang under the background of “the New Silk Road Economic Belt”. Finally, reasons for development lag of economic circles are analyzed and constructive suggestions are put forward accordingly.
通过两阶段灰色聚类法从影响经济社会发展、基础设施建设、相关产业发展等众多因素中筛选出4个一级指标和13个二级指标,构成评价区域经济社会发展的评价指标体系。以中国新疆省14个地市为样本,利用改进的中心点混合三角白化权函数将新疆14个地市划分为4组,为“新丝绸之路经济带”背景下新疆地市经济社会发展定位提供依据。最后,分析了经济圈发展滞后的原因,并提出了相应的建设性建议。
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引用次数: 0
The interval grey numbers ranking based on risk preferences 区间灰数根据风险偏好排序
Pub Date : 2017-08-01 DOI: 10.1109/GSIS.2017.8077660
Zhao-bin Li, Zhuo Zhang, Jian Liu, Shuai Zhang
In this paper, a new method for ranking interval grey numbers to address the challenge in multi-criteria decision making problems with interval grey numbers has been proposed. This new method involves the risk preferences of decision makers. First, we propose a new method to rank the interval grey numbers by comparing the possibility degree or whitened-value. Second, we classify the decision makers into three different types according to their risk preferences then we establish the corresponding risk preference assumptions to solve the problem that different interval grey numbers with the same possibility degree or whitened-value. Finally, we use a realistic voting example to demonstrate the practicability and effectiveness of the proposed method.
针对区间灰数多准则决策问题,提出了一种区间灰数排序的新方法。这种新方法涉及到决策者的风险偏好。首先,我们提出了一种新的区间灰数排序方法,通过比较区间灰数的可能度或白化值进行排序。其次,根据决策者的风险偏好将其分为三种不同的类型,并建立相应的风险偏好假设,解决不同区间灰色数具有相同的可能性程度或白值的问题;最后,通过一个实际的投票实例验证了所提方法的实用性和有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Grey-incidence clustering decision-making method with three-parameter interval grey number based on regret theory 基于后悔理论的三参数区间灰数灰关联聚类决策方法
Pub Date : 2017-08-01 DOI: 10.1109/GSIS.2017.8077706
Ye Li, Yufei Niu, Wenliang Wang, Bing-jun Li
Aiming at the multiple attribute decision making problem with three-parameter interval grey numbers, a grey-incidence clustering decision making method based on regret theory is proposed in this paper. First, according to the idea of TOPSIS method, a kind of comprehensive grey interval incidence coefficient of three-parameter interval grey number is defined, and the “regret-rejoice” value is calculated out based on the grey interval relational coefficients, so the grey relational comprehensive perceptional utility of decision attribute value is obtained by adding the perceptive utility value of comprehensive grey interval incidence coefficient. Then, differing from the traditional grey-incidence clustering method, in this paper, grey clustering analysis is proceeded on the basis of the calculated matrix of comprehensive perceptional utility, so the comprehensive clustering results are achieved, and the ranking of the alternatives which are included in one class can be achieved too. Finally, the rationality and validity of the proposed method are verified by comparison analysis with an example.
针对具有三参数区间灰数的多属性决策问题,提出了一种基于后悔理论的灰关联聚类决策方法。首先,根据TOPSIS方法的思想,定义了一种三参数区间灰数的综合灰色区间关联系数,并根据该灰色区间关联系数计算出决策属性值的“后悔-高兴”值,将综合灰色区间关联系数的感知效用值相加,得到决策属性值的灰色关联综合感知效用。然后,与传统的灰色关联聚类方法不同,本文在综合感知效用计算矩阵的基础上进行灰色聚类分析,从而得到综合聚类结果,并对包含在一类中的备选方案进行排序。最后,通过算例对比分析,验证了所提方法的合理性和有效性。
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引用次数: 4
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2017 International Conference on Grey Systems and Intelligent Services (GSIS)
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