Analysis of the Modified Weibull Distribution for Estimation of Wind Speed Distribution

Ismail Yenilmez, Y. Kantar, I. Arik, I. Usta
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Finding suitable wind speed distribution is one of the most important tasks for the correct estimation of wind energy potential of the specified region. The Weibull distribution is the well-known and suggested distribution in estimating wind energy potential. However, in order to predict wind energy more correctly, new and flexible statistical distributions have been proposed in the last decade. In this study, we introduce a new modified Weibull distribution (MWD) for modelling wind speed and estimating wind power density and also we test MWD versus the classical Weibull distribution on real wind speed data measured in various regions of Turkey. The results of the analysis indicate that MWD suits well for most of the examined wind data cases. Therefore, MWD can be alternatively used for assessment of wind energy potential.
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估计风速分布的修正威布尔分布分析
寻找合适的风速分布是正确估计指定区域风能潜力的重要任务之一。威布尔分布是估计风能潜力的一种众所周知的和被建议的分布。然而,为了更准确地预测风能,在过去十年中提出了新的灵活的统计分布。在这项研究中,我们引入了一种新的修正威布尔分布(MWD)来模拟风速和估计风力密度,并在土耳其不同地区的实际风速数据上测试了MWD与经典威布尔分布的对比。分析结果表明,随钻测井方法适用于大多数实测风资料。因此,随钻测井可以替代用于风能潜力的评估。
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