The Effect of Politician Career Concerns on Media Slant and Market Return: Evidence from China

Li Jin, Nianhang Xu, Weining Zhang
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引用次数: 10

Abstract

We document that Chinese city officials are more likely to be promoted if firms under their jurisdictions receive less negative media coverage towards their term-ends. Consequently, local officials suppress negative news of local companies at their term-ends. Such distortion worsens the information environment. We show that a trading strategy exploiting this informational inefficiency can generate a 12% per annum abnormal return. We also find that officials with stronger career concerns are more likely to suppress negative news. Taken together, politician career concern appears to be an important determinant of capital market information efficiency in China.
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政治家职业关注对媒体倾向性和市场回报的影响:来自中国的证据
我们的研究表明,如果中国城市官员在其管辖范围内的公司在其任期结束时受到较少的负面媒体报道,他们就更有可能获得晋升。因此,地方官员在任期结束时压制有关地方企业的负面消息。这种扭曲恶化了信息环境。我们表明,利用这种信息效率低下的交易策略可以产生每年12%的异常回报。我们还发现,有更强职业关注度的官员更有可能压制负面新闻。综上所述,政治家的职业生涯关注似乎是中国资本市场信息效率的重要决定因素。
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