Migration exchanges of Russian regions with the CIS-countries and potential of transit movements

S. Maximova
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Abstract

Article presents results of statistical analysis about indexes of migration growth in a result of migration exchange of Russian regions with the CIS countries. Subjects of the Russian Federation were considered from the point of view of attractiveness to migrants, bases for analysis are open data of statistical bulletins by the Rosstat. A special attention is paid to the distribution of the most popular migration roots form the CIS countries in the Russian Federation; possible transit regions were specified. Paper specifies groups of subjects, having different attractiveness for migrants. Authors conclude about poor ability of Russian migration statistics to reflect real migration movements of migrants, because a part of migrants hide real purposes of their visit and wish to make easier the stay in the Russian Federation or sometimes plan to use illegal roots and resources of migration to the Western (or other) countries because the absence of opportunity of legal crossing through strictly protected or nontransparent borders. Statistics of the transit covers only those migrants, who are sure in the final point of movement and legally move through the transit stages, or those, who are in temporary migration (tourism, education, work of private visits) and move in transit in the Russian Federation. There is a tendency of meagre flows of migrants from the CIS countries to ethnic republics of Russia. The criteria of regional differences “Russian core – Ethnic regions” determines peculiarities of migration processes. The popular roots of migrants across the Russia testify about ethnic character of migration of citizens from the CIS countries: stable and considerable in numbers from certain country to certain regions, and presence of agency 8th International Conference on Humanities, Psychology and Social Science October 19 – 21, 2018 Munich, Germany 17 networks on promotion of transit migration movements basing on diaspora networks in country of temporary residence, including criminal.
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俄罗斯地区与独联体国家的移民交流和过境流动的潜力
本文介绍了俄罗斯地区与独联体国家移民交换结果中移民增长指标的统计分析结果。从对移民的吸引力的角度考虑了俄罗斯联邦的主题,分析的基础是俄罗斯统计局统计公报的公开数据。特别注意来自独联体国家的最普遍的移徙根源在俄罗斯联邦的分布情况;指定了可能的过境区域。论文指定了不同的主题群体,对移民具有不同的吸引力。作者的结论是,俄罗斯移民统计数据反映移民真实迁移的能力很差,因为一部分移民隐藏了他们访问的真实目的,希望更容易地留在俄罗斯联邦,或者有时计划利用非法移民的根源和资源到西方(或其他)国家,因为没有机会合法穿越严格保护或不透明的边界。过境的统计数字只包括那些确定在最后移动点并合法通过过境阶段的移徙者,或那些临时移徙(旅游、教育、私人访问工作)并在俄罗斯联邦过境的移徙者。从独联体国家到俄罗斯各民族共和国的移民有稀少的趋势。地域差异的标准“俄罗斯核心-民族地区”决定了移民过程的特殊性。俄罗斯各地移民的流行根源证明了独联体国家公民移民的民族特征:从某些国家到某些地区的数量稳定且相当可观,第八届人文、心理学和社会科学国际会议的存在2018年10月19日至21日,德国慕尼黑,基于临时居住国的侨民网络,包括犯罪网络,促进过境移民运动的17个网络。
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