Second-order Time Delay Reservoir Computing for Nonlinear Time Series Problems

Xinming Shi, Jiashi Gao, Leandro L. Minku, James J. Q. Yu, Xin Yao
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Abstract

Time Delay Reservoir (TDR) can exhibit effects of high dimensionality and short-term memory based on delay differential equations (DDEs), as well as having hardware-friendly characteristics. However, the predictive performance and memory capacity of the standard TDRs are still limited, and dependent on the hyperparameter of the oscillation function. In this paper, we first analyze these limitations and their corresponding reasons. We find that the reasons for such limitations are fused by two aspects, which are the trade-off between the strength of self-feedback and neighboring-feedback caused by neuron separation, as well as the unsuitable order setting of the nonlinear function in DDE. Therefore, we propose a new form of TDR with second-order time delay to overcome such limitations, incurring a more flexible time-multiplexing. Moreover, a parameter-free nonlinear function is introduced to substitute the classic Mackey-Glass oscillator, which alleviates the problem of parameter dependency. Our experiments show that the proposed approach achieves better predictive performance and memory capacity compared with the standard TDR. Our proposed model also outperforms six other existing approaches on both time series prediction and recognition tasks.
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非线性时间序列问题的二阶时滞库计算
时延储存库(TDR)具有高维和基于延迟微分方程(DDEs)的短时记忆的特性,并且具有硬件友好的特点。然而,标准tdr的预测性能和存储容量仍然有限,并且依赖于振荡函数的超参数。本文首先分析了这些局限性及其产生的原因。我们发现,造成这种限制的原因是由两个方面融合在一起的,一个是神经元分离导致的自反馈和邻反馈强度的权衡,另一个是DDE中非线性函数的阶数设置不合适。因此,我们提出了一种具有二阶时间延迟的新形式的TDR来克服这些限制,从而产生更灵活的时间复用。此外,引入无参数非线性函数来代替经典的麦基-格拉斯振荡器,减轻了参数依赖问题。实验表明,与标准TDR相比,该方法具有更好的预测性能和存储容量。我们提出的模型在时间序列预测和识别任务上也优于其他六种现有方法。
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