Multiphase Compartment Models of Distribution of New Coronavirus Infections

Yiyang Luo, V. Lutsenko, Igor Popov, M. Babakov, Elena Krivenko, Viktoriia Klymenko
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Abstract

A fundamentally new multiphase compartmental mathematical model for predicting the spread of several waves of coronavirus infection has been developed. Quality indicators in comparison with existing single-phase models are analyzed. The developed model will allow to model several waves of the process of spreading new coronavirus infections, to predict the process of loading the medical system, as well as the needs for staff, equipment and hospital beds during pandemics.
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新型冠状病毒感染分布的多相室室模型
已经开发出一种全新的多相区隔数学模型,用于预测几波冠状病毒感染的传播。并与现有单相模型的质量指标进行了比较分析。开发的模型将能够模拟新冠病毒感染传播过程的几波,预测医疗系统的负荷过程,以及大流行期间对工作人员、设备和病床的需求。
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