A fuzzy extension of MEREC method using parabolic measure and its applications

Monika Narang, Arun Kumar, Rajat Dhawan
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引用次数: 18

Abstract

Human qualitative judgments are often characterized by uncertainty and predictability. Decision-makers tend to be more confident in making linguistic decisions than in crisp value judgments. MEREC is capable of achieving relative objective weights of several conflicting criteria. This paper contains two parts, first, the extension of MEREC method in fuzzy circumstances based on linguistic terms in which a parabolic measure has been used to calculate the overall performance of alternatives as it is able to work according the definition of TFNs and to show the applicability, a simple decision matrix is ​​analysed in a fuzzy environment. Second, a new hybrid ranking methodology Fuzzy MEREC-TOPSIS for multi criteria decision making. Further, to illustrate the credibility and effectiveness of the proposed hybrid ranking method, a real-world example of stock selection has been used. The portfolio is constructed using ranking of the stocks received through the proposed method and capital is allocated according to the order of preference of stocks. To validate the proposed ranking model, the next 30 days closing price of each stock is predicted by a deep recurrent neural network and the portfolio for future investments is analysed. The results of the future analysis validate the credibility of the portfolio.
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抛物测度MEREC方法的模糊推广及其应用
人类的定性判断往往具有不确定性和可预测性。决策者在做出语言决策时往往比在做出清晰的价值判断时更有信心。MEREC能够实现几个相互冲突的标准的相对客观权重。本文包括两个部分,首先,基于语言术语的模糊环境下MEREC方法的扩展,其中使用抛物度量来计算备选方案的总体性能,因为它能够根据tfn的定义工作,并显示出适用性,在模糊环境下分析了一个简单的决策矩阵。其次,提出了一种新的用于多准则决策的模糊MEREC-TOPSIS混合排序方法。此外,为了说明所提出的混合排名方法的可信度和有效性,我们使用了一个现实世界的股票选择例子。通过提出的方法对收到的股票进行排序来构建投资组合,并根据股票的偏好顺序分配资金。为了验证所提出的排名模型,利用深度递归神经网络预测每只股票未来30天的收盘价,并对未来投资组合进行分析。未来分析的结果验证了投资组合的可信度。
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