The Non-Ratification of Bilateral Investment Treaties in Brazil: A Story of Conflict in a Land of Cooperation

Leany Barreiro Lemos, Daniela Campello
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Abstract

This article examines Brazil's unique experience with bilateral investment treaties (BITs) – the country signed fourteen of them in the 90's, but none was ever enacted. The case is puzzling for a number of reasons; first, the Brazilian political system is notorious for its concentration of power in the executive branch, and BITs were an initiative of the executive. Moreover, the executive has been particularly successful at enacting international treaties in the country; 98 percent of those signed between 1988 and 2006 were ratified, half of them within eighteen months. Finally, the Brazilian Congress approved various investor-friendly policies that required even higher voting thresholds in the same period that BITs were being negotiated. We use primary legislative data and interviews with policymakers and bureaucrats to argue that concentrated but strong ideological opposition in Congress certainly contributed to the difficulties of BIT enactment, but an unresolved executive – which addressed most investor's demands through alternative channels – was the main factor in explaining non-ratification. Ultimately, our findings imply that the literature on BIT needs to open the black box of the executive in order to better understand the determinants of treaties' enactment.
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巴西双边投资条约未获批准:合作土地上的冲突故事
本文考察了巴西在双边投资协定(BITs)方面的独特经验——该国在90年代签署了14个双边投资协定,但没有一个付诸实施。这个案件令人费解的原因有很多;首先,巴西的政治体制因权力集中在行政部门而臭名昭著,而双边投资协定是行政部门的一项倡议。此外,行政当局在该国颁布国际条约方面尤其成功;1988年至2006年间签署的条约中有98%得到了批准,其中一半在18个月内得到批准。最后,在双边投资协定谈判的同一时期,巴西国会批准了各种对投资者友好的政策,这些政策需要更高的投票门槛。我们使用主要的立法数据和对政策制定者和官僚的采访来论证,国会集中但强烈的意识形态反对肯定导致了BIT颁布的困难,但一个未解决的高管——通过其他渠道解决了大多数投资者的需求——是解释未批准的主要因素。最终,我们的研究结果表明,关于双边投资协定的文献需要打开行政部门的黑匣子,以便更好地理解条约制定的决定因素。
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