Trade, Globalization and Economic Policy

J. Kelly
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Abstract

This article places international trade law in the context of the rapid increase in economic growth and globalization over the last 60 years that is reducing poverty and expanding the middle class in most nations of the world. This economic and cultural integration of markets and peoples has been stimulated by two major factors: first, the increase in technological innovation in transport, information technology and manufacturing processes and second, the removal of legal barriers to the flow of goods, capital and knowledge around the globe stimulated by successive rounds of trade negotiations at the GATT and later the WTO.The arguments for and against globalization are analyzed within the context of the history of economic ideas and with an understanding that there are tradeoffs because not all people benefit from these rapid changes. While technological innovation spurs economic growth, the full benefits cannot be realized unless technology and the resulting products are widely available through trade. The world trade regime has evolved to significantly remove barriers to trade, provide a forum to settle trade disputes, and develop uniform legal standards to resolve disputes. The chapter forecasts a further increase in the trend toward one world market, the convergence of wage rates for manufactured products and many services, the continued rise of the middle class in emerging economies and a movement toward greater international governance driven by increased pressure for uniform laws to reduce uncertainty and for international forums to reduce inconsistency in application.
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贸易、全球化和经济政策
本文将国际贸易法置于过去60年来经济增长和全球化快速增长的背景下,这在世界上大多数国家减少了贫困,扩大了中产阶级。市场和人民的这种经济和文化一体化受到两个主要因素的刺激:第一,运输、信息技术和制造过程方面技术革新的增加;第二,在关贸总协定和后来的世贸组织连续几轮贸易谈判的推动下,消除了货物、资本和知识在全球流动的法律障碍。支持和反对全球化的论点在经济思想史的背景下进行分析,并理解存在权衡,因为并非所有人都能从这些快速变化中受益。虽然技术创新刺激经济增长,但除非技术和由此产生的产品通过贸易广泛获得,否则无法实现充分的利益。世界贸易制度已经发展到大大消除贸易壁垒,提供一个解决贸易争端的论坛,并制定统一的法律标准来解决争端。本章预测,一个世界市场的趋势将进一步加强,制成品和许多服务的工资率将趋同,新兴经济体中产阶级的持续崛起,以及在统一法律减少不确定性和国际论坛减少应用不一致性的压力增加的推动下,走向更大的国际治理的运动。
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