Dalel Ayed Lakhal, Saoussen Bel Hadj Kacem, M. Tagina, Mohamed Ali Amara
{"title":"Prediction of psychiatric drugs sale during COVID-19","authors":"Dalel Ayed Lakhal, Saoussen Bel Hadj Kacem, M. Tagina, Mohamed Ali Amara","doi":"10.1109/BIBE52308.2021.9635202","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"In the pharmaceutical industry, the production of psychiatric drugs has been seriously disrupted since the appearance of COVID'19. For that, Demand Forecasting of psychiatric drugs is among the big challenges in this industry. The objective is to avoid an excess of stock and, at the same time, to ensure that a stock rupture does not occur. Based on analysis of psychiatric drugs data, we compare in this paper several forecasting techniques which are Exponential Smoothing, seasonal ARIMA (i.e. SARIMA), SARIMAX, enhanced with the integration of exogenous (explanatory) variables, and LSTM. Through all the done tests, we make a comparison study of the results to identify the most promising models.","PeriodicalId":343724,"journal":{"name":"2021 IEEE 21st International Conference on Bioinformatics and Bioengineering (BIBE)","volume":"113 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2021-10-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"2021 IEEE 21st International Conference on Bioinformatics and Bioengineering (BIBE)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/BIBE52308.2021.9635202","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
In the pharmaceutical industry, the production of psychiatric drugs has been seriously disrupted since the appearance of COVID'19. For that, Demand Forecasting of psychiatric drugs is among the big challenges in this industry. The objective is to avoid an excess of stock and, at the same time, to ensure that a stock rupture does not occur. Based on analysis of psychiatric drugs data, we compare in this paper several forecasting techniques which are Exponential Smoothing, seasonal ARIMA (i.e. SARIMA), SARIMAX, enhanced with the integration of exogenous (explanatory) variables, and LSTM. Through all the done tests, we make a comparison study of the results to identify the most promising models.
京公网安备 11010802042870号
京ICP备2023020795号-1
分享
求助内容：
应助结果提醒方式：
扫码关注我们
