Cascading Failure Risk Assessment in Power Grid Based On the Line Outage Rate

Xu Pei-dong, Xu Gang, Yu Bing-qi, Feng Jing, Shi Chun-Min, Wang Tian-xu
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

The risk of cascading failure in power grid can be integrated the possibility and severity of cascading failure severity. The possibility in traditional risk assessment only considered the line failure rate, but the line overload outage is one of the important reasons lead to cascading failure too. In order to consider the complex uncertainty in actual power system, according to the line protection actions, environmental and weather factors and human errors caused by the line fault and line overload to get the line outage probability, further set up cascading failure risk assessment model of power grid considering line outage rate .The simulation of the WSCC-9 buses system proved that the proposed method is with correctness and objectivity, provided with engineering value.
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基于线路中断率的电网级联故障风险评估
电网级联故障风险可以综合考虑级联故障发生的可能性和严重程度。传统风险评估中的可能性只考虑线路故障率,而线路过载停运也是导致级联故障的重要原因之一。为了考虑实际电力系统中复杂的不确定性,根据线路保护动作、环境和天气因素以及线路故障和过载引起的人为错误,得到线路停运概率,进一步建立了考虑线路停运率的电网级联故障风险评估模型。通过对WSCC-9母线系统的仿真,证明了所提方法的正确性和客观性,具有工程价值。
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