The Social Cost of Carbon and the Ramsey Rule

C. Withagen
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Abstract

The objective of this paper is to critically assess the use of simple rules for the social cost of carbon (SCC) that employ a rudimentary form of the Ramsey Rule. Two interrelated caveats apply. First, if climate change poses a serious problem, it is hard to justify an exogenous constant growth rate of consumption and GDP, as is done in several contributions by prominent scholars. Second, to derive the optimal SCC one needs full knowledge of the entire future, in spite of the use of popular ways to try to get around this. Moreover, it is shown that some simple rules suffer from inconsistencies in their derivation.
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碳排放的社会成本与拉姆齐法则
本文的目的是批判性地评估碳社会成本(SCC)的简单规则的使用,这些规则采用了拉姆齐规则的基本形式。这里有两个相互关联的警告。首先,如果气候变化构成了一个严重的问题,就很难证明消费和GDP的外生恒定增长率是合理的,正如几位著名学者在其著作中所做的那样。其次,为了获得最佳的SCC,人们需要对整个未来有充分的了解,尽管使用了流行的方法来试图绕过这个问题。此外,还证明了一些简单规则在推导过程中存在不一致性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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