An Analysis of the Price of Urban Housing Lands in Iran’s Provinces during 2001-2011

M. Rahnama, M. A. Shokuhi, M. Ghanbari
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Abstract

Generally, more than 60 percent of land in cities and around 40 percent in small towns are utilized as housing areas. The present research aims to investigate the price of urban housing lands in Iran during the years 2001-2011 in different provinces. The method of research used in this paper is descriptive analytical method. After gathering the data in this regard via the Central Bank of Iran, using Moran Coefficient in GIS software and GeoDa software, the spatial autocorrelation was calculated and the correlation between variables like the price of urban housing land, percentage of urbanism, the average of the area of housing units and the level of development in different Iranian provinces was calculated. The findings of this study reveal this fact that in 2011 only in some provinces is there a significant relationship between the price of urban housing lands and the level of development of provinces. Also, the price of urban housing lands in Iran during 2001-2011 is not correlated with variables of urbanism percentage and the average area of urban housing units in different provinces. Further, we can state that the price of urban housing lands in Iran during the years 2001-2011 has moved from an accidental distribution toward a cluster distribution and during this same period, the average index of changes in the price of urban housing lands all over the country has been equal to 877.32 percent; with such provinces as Ardebil, Hamedan, Razavi Khorasan and Bushehr respectively having the highest index of change in prices and such provinces as Northern Khorasan, Khuzestan, Tehran and Yazd with the lowest index.
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2001-2011年伊朗各省城市住宅用地价格分析
一般来说,城市60%以上的土地和小城镇40%左右的土地被用作住宅用地。本研究旨在调查2001-2011年伊朗不同省份城市住宅用地价格。本文采用的研究方法是描述性分析方法。通过伊朗中央银行收集这方面的数据后,利用GIS软件和GeoDa软件中的Moran系数计算空间自相关性,并计算伊朗不同省份城市住房用地价格、城市化率、住房面积平均值和发展水平等变量之间的相关性。研究结果表明,2011年只有部分省份的城市住宅用地价格与省份发展水平之间存在显著的关系。此外,2001-2011年伊朗城市住房用地价格与不同省份城市化率和平均住房面积变量不相关。此外,我们可以指出,2001-2011年伊朗城市住房用地价格从偶然分布向集群分布转变,同一时期,全国城市住房用地价格变化的平均指数为877.32%;其中,阿尔德比尔、哈马丹、呼罗珊、布什尔等省份的价格变化指数最高,北呼罗珊、胡齐斯坦、德黑兰和亚兹德等省份的价格变化指数最低。
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