The behaviour of imports in Cameroon: An analysis through the equilibrium and disequilibrium models

Elie Ngongang
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Abstract

Abstract. We have attempted, in this paper, to evaluate the structure and determinants of the demand for imports in Cameroon at the aggregated and disaggregated levels, using an equilibrium and disequilibrium models. It emerges from econometric estimation that real income, the real exchange rate and the variable capacity to importand industrialization were the determining factors in Cameroon imports. The degradation of imports illustrates the elastic or inelastic nature of imported products. Cameroon must reshape her development strategies towards industrialization in order for them to achieve a progressive reduction of their imports. This imperative situation would be a means that cannot be ignored by the Cameroon if it wants to attract foreign direct investment which is a source for the development of firms and for boosting productivity. Keywords. Structure, Imports, Development of firms, Industrialization, Cameroon. JEL. C20, F20, F30.
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喀麦隆的进口行为:通过均衡和非均衡模型的分析
摘要在本文中,我们试图使用均衡和非均衡模型,在汇总和分解水平上评估喀麦隆进口需求的结构和决定因素。从计量经济学估计可以看出,实际收入、实际汇率和进口和工业化的可变能力是喀麦隆进口的决定因素。进口产品的退化说明了进口产品的弹性或非弹性。喀麦隆必须重新制定其面向工业化的发展战略,以便逐步减少进口。如果喀麦隆想要吸引外国直接投资,这种迫切的情况将是喀麦隆不能忽视的手段,因为外国直接投资是企业发展和提高生产力的来源。关键词。结构,进口,企业发展,工业化,喀麦隆。冻胶。C20 f20 f30。
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