ITINERARY PREDICTIVE ANALYTICS: AI BASED SOFTWARE AS A MEDICAL DEVICE TO PREDICT PATIENTS’ FIRST VISIT ITINERARY FOR HEALTHCARE ADMINISTRATION

S. Damani, K. Gopalakrishnan, Keirthana Aedma, Pratyusha Muddaloor, V. Chandrasekhara, Alexander J. Ryu, Christopher A. Aakre, S. P. Arunachalam
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Abstract

Majority of hospitals still utilize manual methods for patient scheduling and predicting future appointments, resulting in longer wait times, hospital burnout and inadequate use of resources. A variety of avenues have been explored, including priority patient routing, tele-health, neural networks for improving ER efficiency, predicting no-shows, consultation duration variations, and optimizing operating room utilization. Addressing this issue, a study was conducted using 700 pre-visit notes of pancreatic patients to determine the requirement of endoscopic or biliary procedure. Through natural language processing and traditional or transfer learning algorithms, data could directly be sent to EPIC for nurses to assess in further decision making. Performance of the models was above average with the transfer learning method outperforming the traditional method. Although limited by less dataset and fewer circumstances to test the models on, the results exposed potential for future development with the possibility of patients reporting their chief concerns, in turn analyzed by algorithms, ultimately creating a smooth and effective patient itinerary.
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行程预测分析:基于人工智能的软件作为一种医疗设备,用于预测患者的首次就诊行程,以供医疗管理部门使用
大多数医院仍然使用人工方法来安排病人日程和预测未来的预约,导致等待时间更长,医院倦怠和资源利用不足。已经探索了各种途径,包括优先患者路径,远程医疗,用于提高急诊室效率的神经网络,预测未就诊,会诊时间变化以及优化手术室利用率。针对这一问题,一项研究使用了700例胰腺患者的就诊前记录来确定内镜或胆道手术的需求。通过自然语言处理和传统或迁移学习算法,数据可以直接发送到EPIC,供护士在进一步决策时进行评估。模型的性能均高于平均水平,迁移学习方法优于传统方法。尽管受限于较少的数据集和较少的环境来测试模型,但结果显示了未来发展的潜力,患者可能会报告他们的主要问题,进而通过算法进行分析,最终创建一个顺利有效的患者行程。
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