Research on Application of Compensative GM (1, N) Model in Technical Input Analysis: Evidence from Henan Province in China

Wuwei Li, Yueru Wei, Yuhong Wang
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引用次数: 6

Abstract

Based on the statistics from 1998 to 2005 released by Henan Statistical Bureau in China, this paper applies the compensative GM (1, N) model to simulate the relationship between technical input and economic growth. In this paper, the parameters of the system are obtained via the principle of least square method. In the numerical experiment, the model simulates the GDP values of Henan province from 1998 to 2005. Research results show that the compensative GM (1, N) model has a high precision, and could provide valuable information to policy makers in their efforts to make efficient technical policies for promoting economic growth.
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补偿GM (1, N)模型在技术投入分析中的应用研究——以河南省为例
本文以河南省统计局1998 ~ 2005年的统计数据为基础,运用补偿GM (1, N)模型对技术投入与经济增长之间的关系进行了数值模拟。本文利用最小二乘法原理得到了系统的参数。在数值实验中,该模型模拟了河南省1998 ~ 2005年的GDP值。研究结果表明,补偿GM (1, N)模型具有较高的精度,可以为决策者制定有效的技术政策以促进经济增长提供有价值的信息。
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