The Impact of FDI on the Economic Growth of Serbia

Miloš Parežanin, Sandra Jednak, Dragana Kragulj
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引用次数: 5

Abstract

This paper analyzes the impact of foreign direct investment on the economic growth of the Republic of Serbia. The aim is to analyze the effects of the economic crisis on foreign direct investment impact on the economic performance of the Serbian economy. This paper analyzes the period of 2000 - 2014, using the Inward FDI Performance Index and Pearson’s coefficient of simple linear correlation. The period before the economic crises (2000-2007) and the period after the beginning of the economic crisis (2008-2014) are analyzed separately, in order to observe the linear correlation between FDI and economic growth. The results of the research speak in favor of the existence of a strong and statistically significant correlation between FDI and observed macroeconomic indicators in the period of 2000-2007. The second sub-period was characterized by an absence correlation between FDI inflows and all the observed macroeconomic indicators. The results for the period of 2008-2014 can be explained by the effects of the global crisis on the Serbian economy and the deterioration of all macroeconomic indicators in the given period. Effects of the crisis on the Serbian economy were very strong.
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FDI对塞尔维亚经济增长的影响
本文分析了外商直接投资对塞尔维亚共和国经济增长的影响。目的是分析经济危机对外国直接投资对塞尔维亚经济表现的影响。本文采用外商直接投资绩效指数和皮尔逊简单线性相关系数对2000 - 2014年进行了分析。为了观察FDI与经济增长之间的线性相关性,我们将经济危机前(2000-2007年)和危机开始后(2008-2014年)分别进行分析。研究结果表明,在2000-2007年期间,FDI与观察到的宏观经济指标之间存在着强烈的、统计上显著的相关性。第二个分时期的特点是外国直接投资流入与所有观察到的宏观经济指标之间缺乏相关性。2008-2014年期间的结果可以用全球危机对塞尔维亚经济的影响以及给定时期所有宏观经济指标的恶化来解释。这场危机对塞尔维亚经济的影响非常大。
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