Cellular Traffic Prediction using Recurrent Neural Networks

Shan Jaffry, S. F. Hasan
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引用次数: 10

Abstract

Autonomous network traffic prediction will be a key feature in beyond 5G networks. In the past, researchers have used statistical methods such as Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) to provide traffic prediction. However ARIMA based models fail to provide accurate predictions in highly dynamic cellular environment. Hence, researchers are exploring deep learning techniques such as Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) and Long-Short-Term-Memory (LSTM) to develop autonomous cellular traffic prediction models.This paper proposes a LSTM based cellular traffic prediction model using real world call data record. We have compared the LSTM based prediction with ARIMA model and vanilla Feed-Forward Neural Network (FFNN). The results show that LSTM and FFNN can accurately predict cellular traffic. However, it has been found that LSTM models converged more quickly in terms of training the model for prediction.
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基于递归神经网络的蜂窝通信量预测
自主网络流量预测将是超5G网络的一个关键特征。过去,研究人员使用自动回归综合移动平均(ARIMA)等统计方法来提供交通预测。然而,基于ARIMA的模型无法在高度动态的细胞环境中提供准确的预测。因此,研究人员正在探索深度学习技术,如循环神经网络(RNN)和长短期记忆(LSTM),以开发自主细胞流量预测模型。本文提出了一种基于LSTM的蜂窝式话务量预测模型,该模型采用真实通话数据记录。我们将基于LSTM的预测与ARIMA模型和香草前馈神经网络(FFNN)进行了比较。结果表明,LSTM和FFNN能较准确地预测蜂窝流量。然而,已经发现LSTM模型在训练模型进行预测方面收敛速度更快。
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