Prospects for improving the forecasting of the gross domestic product of regions based on mathematical models

Z. Gaibnazarova
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Abstract

Methods for choosing the prospects for improving the forecasting of the gross domestic product of regions based on mathematical models are considered. Econometric models are used in forecasting the gross domestic product of the regions. These methods will help to identify the factors influencing the improvement of the gross domestic product of the regions, and to assess their impact. In addition, when analyzing the gross domestic product of the regions, the degree of interrelationships of influencing factors was calculated using the statistical grouping method. At the same time, methods of economic and mathematical modeling and multivariate econometric analysis were used. Several econometric models have been developed to predict economic indicators using data that fully reflect the dynamics of the prospects for improving the production of the gross domestic product of the regions. For these purposes, we have analyzed the development of forecasting the regional economic system using econometric models. The interrelation of factors influencing the productivity of the gross domestic product of the regions has been studied.
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改进基于数学模型的地区国内生产总值预测的前景
探讨了基于数学模型的地区生产总值预测的前景选择方法。计量经济模型用于预测各地区的国内生产总值。这些方法将有助于查明影响改善各区域国内生产总值的因素,并评估其影响。此外,在分析各地区的国内生产总值时,采用统计分组法计算各影响因素的相互关系程度。同时,运用了经济数学建模和多元计量经济分析方法。已经发展了几个计量经济学模型,利用充分反映改善各区域国内生产总值生产前景的动态的数据来预测经济指标。为此,我们分析了利用计量经济模型预测区域经济系统的发展。研究了影响各地区国内生产总值生产率的因素之间的相互关系。
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