NUCLEAR PROLIFERATION AND THE CENTRAL BALANCE: STRUCTURAL SCENARIOS

Mihai Zodian
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Abstract

This paper synthetizes earlier studies and aims to investigate how the nuclear equilibrium between the United States and the Russian Federation may change, because of the process of proliferation. A theoretical perspective combining power transition and rational deterrence theory is used to draw a few scenarios. The main goal is to develop general traits and tendencies, by varying the variable of power distribution and use them to develop a few scenarios.
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核扩散和中心平衡:结构性情景
本文综合前人的研究,旨在探讨美国和俄罗斯联邦之间的核平衡如何因扩散过程而改变。运用权力转移与理性威慑理论相结合的理论视角,绘制了几个情景。主要目标是通过改变权力分配的变量来发展一般的特征和趋势,并利用它们来发展一些场景。
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