Put Option and Risk Level of Asset

Kuo-Ping Chang
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Abstract

This paper defines an asset’s risk as the likelihood that the asset can deliver at least a specific rate of return. Every asset which provides uncertain payoff has a corresponding put-call parity. The paper uses put option to construct the p-index to measure risk levels (likelihoods) of asset’s providing various rates of return, i.e., risk structure of asset. It shows that in the binomial case with up move and down move, (1) assets having lower down move have higher p-index, i.e., higher risk; (2) all call options have the same p-index, i.e., the same risk level, and all put options have the same p-index; and (3) underlying asset may be riskier than its put option and may have the same risk level as its call option. The trinomial example shows that the ranking of risk levels of assets’ providing different rates of returns could reverse. In the Black-Scholes-Merton model, assets having higher volatility have higher risk.
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看跌期权和资产风险水平
本文将一项资产的风险定义为该资产能够提供至少一个特定收益率的可能性。每一种提供不确定收益的资产都有相应的看跌期权平价。本文利用看跌期权构造p指数来衡量资产提供不同收益率的风险水平(可能性),即资产的风险结构。结果表明,在上下移动的二项情况下,(1)下移动越小的资产p指数越高,即风险越高;(2)所有看涨期权具有相同的p指数,即相同的风险水平,所有看跌期权具有相同的p指数;(3)标的资产可能比看跌期权风险更大,并可能与看涨期权具有相同的风险水平。三叉例子表明,提供不同收益率的资产的风险水平排序可能会反转。在Black-Scholes-Merton模型中,波动性越大的资产风险越大。
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