OPÇÕES DE EXPANSÃO DE INVESTIMENTO EM ARMAZÉM PORTUÁRIO DE SOJA

J. C. Souza, J. G. C. Souza, Carlos Henrique Rocha, C. Neumann
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Abstract

The study evaluates a soybean storage enterprise in a port terminal with a positive Net Present Value (LPV). The goal is to know the right time to exercise an investment and expansion option. In order to understand when is the right time to do it, it is necessary to know the impact of volatility and uncertainty on the value of the option to invest. Thus, the results present greater accuracy when considering the uncertainties or volatility of the soybean market. The expansion, from a given year, brings better positive results. However, the evaluation with the LPV in options models without expansion, only considering volatility and uncertainty, indicates the advantages of remaining in the investment.
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扩大大豆港口仓库投资的选择
以净现值为正的港口码头大豆仓储企业为研究对象。我们的目标是知道什么时候进行投资和扩张。为了了解什么时候是正确的时机,有必要知道波动性和不确定性对投资期权价值的影响。因此,当考虑到大豆市场的不确定性或波动性时,结果呈现出更高的准确性。从某一年开始,扩张会带来更好的积极结果。然而,在不进行展开式的期权模型中,仅考虑波动性和不确定性,使用LPV进行评估,则表明了保留投资的优势。
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