North European logistics flows with RIC: actor and national economy analysis

O. Hilmola
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Abstract

Emerging market trade of Sweden and Finland is growing, particularly so with Russia, India and China (RIC). However, trade is far from balanced: Russian exports dominate all trade statistics, and trade deficits swell. Chinese trade in the beginning of the last decade was very beneficial, but rapidly it changed to deficits, and Chinese manufacturing dominance. Indian relationship is still developing in manufacturing sector, since Indian economy has its strengths in IT and services. Research uses longitudinal survey data to examine logistics flow development between RIC and North Europe. Our findings show that in the near future situation stays put with China: North European companies continue to source and/or manufacturing products from China. Russia remains as ‘a great opportunity’ in the forthcoming future as it has done so also earlier. Indian logistics flows are starting to replicate Chinese unbalanced model, but lack volume.
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北欧物流与RIC:行动者与国家经济分析
瑞典和芬兰的新兴市场贸易正在增长,特别是与俄罗斯、印度和中国(RIC)的贸易。然而,贸易远未达到平衡:俄罗斯出口在所有贸易统计数据中占主导地位,贸易逆差不断扩大。中国的贸易在过去十年的开始是非常有益的,但很快就变成了赤字,中国制造业占据了主导地位。印度在制造业的关系仍在发展,因为印度经济在IT和服务业方面有优势。研究使用纵向调查数据来检查RIC和北欧之间的物流流发展。我们的研究结果表明,在不久的将来,中国的情况将保持不变:北欧公司继续从中国采购和/或制造产品。在即将到来的未来,俄罗斯仍然是一个“巨大的机会”,就像它早些时候做的那样。印度的物流流开始复制中国的不平衡模式,但缺乏体量。
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