Power Output Prediction of Wave Farms Using Fully Connected Networks

Bhavana Burramukku, O. Ceylan, M. Neshat
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Abstract

One of the most important factors in the amount of power generated by a wave farm is the Wave Energy Converters (WECs) arrangement along with the usual wave conditions. Therefore, forming an appropriate arrangement of WECs in an array is a significant parameter in maximizing power absorption. This paper focuses on developing a fully connected neural model in order to predict the total power output of a wave farm based on the placement of the converters, derived from the four real wave scenarios on the southern coast of Australia. The applied converter model is a fully submerged three-tether converter called CETO. Data collected from the test sites is used to design a neural model for predicting the wave farm’s power output produced. A precise analysis of the WEC placement is investigated to reveal the amount of power generated by the wave farms on the test site. We finally proposed a suitable configuration of a fully connected neural model to forecast the power output with high accuracy.
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使用全连接网络的波浪场功率输出预测
波浪发电厂发电量的最重要因素之一是波浪能转换器(WECs)的布置以及通常的波浪条件。因此,在阵列中形成适当的WECs排列是最大化功率吸收的重要参数。本文的重点是开发一个全连接的神经模型,以便根据转换器的位置来预测波浪场的总功率输出,该模型来源于澳大利亚南部海岸的四个真实海浪场景。应用的变换器模型是一个全淹没的三系绳变换器,称为CETO。从试验点收集的数据被用来设计一个神经模型来预测波浪场产生的功率输出。对WEC放置的精确分析进行了调查,以揭示测试场地上波浪场产生的电量。最后,我们提出了一种合适的全连接神经网络模型结构,以高精度地预测输出功率。
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