Spatial Epidemiological Pattern of HIV

C. J. V. Barroso, Zenas B Paloma
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Abstract

This paper aims to explain the prevalence rate of Human Immunodeficiency Virus worldwide. The data matrix of CIA World Fact Book (2015) was used through new methodologies enclosed in fractal statistical analysis and data mining. After analyzing the data sets of different countries, a pattern was observed regarding the spatial epidemiological spread of HIV. Fractal statistical analysis revealed that the dynamic expansion of the virus is towards the northeastern hemisphere. Data mining further exposed that the spread of HIV follows the pathway along the coastal areas, specifically, following the trading system of the different countries. Moreover, being situated in the tropical environment can contribute directly and indirectly to the HIV prevalence through climate temperatures and agricultural productivity.  Through these findings, it is then posited that the HIV incidence is not merely due to sexual activities rather it is also sensitive to the environmental characteristics of diferent countries.Keywords:  Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV), spatial epidemiology pattern, Nightingale's environmental theory, fractal statistical analysis, data mining
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HIV的空间流行病学格局
本文旨在解释人类免疫缺陷病毒在世界范围内的流行率。通过分形统计分析和数据挖掘的新方法,使用了CIA世界概况书(2015)的数据矩阵。在分析不同国家的数据集后,观察到艾滋病毒的空间流行病学传播模式。分形统计分析表明,该病毒正向东北半球动态扩展。数据挖掘进一步表明,艾滋病毒的传播遵循沿海地区的途径,特别是遵循不同国家的贸易制度。此外,地处热带环境可以通过气候温度和农业生产力直接或间接地促进艾滋病毒的流行。通过这些发现,我们假设HIV的发病率不仅仅是由于性活动,而是对不同国家的环境特征也很敏感。关键词:人类免疫缺陷病毒,空间流行病学格局,南丁格尔环境理论,分形统计分析,数据挖掘
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