Involuntary Unemployment and the Business Cycle

Lawrence J. Christiano, M. Trabandt, Karl Walentin
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引用次数: 34

Abstract

We propose a monetary model in which the unemployed satisfy the official U.S. definition of unemployment: people without jobs who are (1) currently making concrete efforts to find work and (2) willing and able to work. In addition, our model has the property that people searching for jobs are better off if they find a job than if they do not (that is, unemployment is involuntary). We integrate our model of involuntary unemployment into the simple new Keynesian framework with no capital and use the resulting model to discuss the concept of the nonaccelerating inflation rate of unemployment. We then integrate the model into a medium-sized DSGE model with capital and show that the resulting model does as well as existing models at accounting for the response of standard macroeconomic variables to monetary policy shocks and two technology shocks. In addition, the model does well at accounting for the response of the labor force and unemployment rate to the three shocks.
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非自愿失业和商业周期
我们提出了一个货币模型,其中失业者符合美国官方对失业的定义:失业者(1)目前正在为找工作做出具体努力,(2)愿意并能够工作。此外,我们的模型还具有这样的属性:找工作的人如果找到了工作,情况会比找不到工作的人好(也就是说,失业是非自愿的)。我们将我们的非自愿失业模型整合到没有资本的简单的新凯恩斯主义框架中,并使用由此产生的模型来讨论失业的非加速通货膨胀率的概念。然后,我们将该模型整合到一个中等规模的带有资本的DSGE模型中,并表明所得到的模型在考虑标准宏观经济变量对货币政策冲击和两次技术冲击的反应方面与现有模型一样好。此外,该模型在考虑劳动力和失业率对三次冲击的反应方面做得很好。
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