Structural Impacts of the Tax System on Economic Growth in the Republic of Armenia

Andranik Margaryan
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Abstract

Interactions between types of taxes that form the basis of the tax system of the Republic of Armenia and the Gross value added were analyzed in the article. The main objective of the analysis was to observe the behavioral impacts of different types of taxes: corporate income tax, personal income tax, value added tax and excise tax on the growth of the country's GDP according to their functional significance, the main trends and the most typical aspects of these processes were revealed. In this context, it is very important to identify the amount of financial resources the state collects from the economy and allocates to the state treasury in the form of taxes and fees, as well as the distribution of the tax burden on economic sectors, households and others participating in economic processes. In order to find out the nature of the observed relationships and the directions of influence, the ARDL (autoregressive distributed lag) model was used, the use of which allowed to distinguish both short-term and long-term interrelations between observed indicators. As a result of the given analysis, the positive impacts of indirect taxes and the negative impacts of direct taxes on the economic growth were identified and quantified. Nevertheless, the short and long-term impacts of personal income tax on the economic growth is controversial and ambiguous.
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税收制度对亚美尼亚共和国经济增长的结构性影响
文章分析了构成亚美尼亚共和国税收制度基础的各种税种与总增加值之间的相互作用。分析的主要目的是观察不同税种:企业所得税、个人所得税、增值税和消费税对国家GDP增长的行为影响,根据其功能意义,揭示这些过程的主要趋势和最典型方面。在这种情况下,确定国家从经济中收取并以税费形式分配给国库的财政资源的数量,以及经济部门、家庭和其他参与经济过程的人的税负分布是非常重要的。为了找出观察到的关系的性质和影响方向,使用了自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型,使用该模型可以区分观察到的指标之间的短期和长期相互关系。作为给定分析的结果,间接税对经济增长的积极影响和直接税的消极影响被确定和量化。然而,个人所得税对经济增长的短期和长期影响存在争议和模糊。
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