Declive del liderazgo de EE. UU. con Trump y ascenso de China como opción del multilateralismo global

Jaime Torres
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

This paper studies how global leadership resulting from the Bretton Woods agreements has suffered a decay process, as demonstrated by 2008 financial crisis and the fragility of US, Japan and UE economies, whose importance for world economy has weakened. Meanwhile, President D. Trump fosters the breakdown of multilateralism and, therefore, undermines the global leadership that his country has exercised since World War II. Besides, multilateral financial institutions created in Bretton Woods are not flexible enough to stimulate the economy of developing countries due to their limitations in terms of capital structure and the scarcity of resources. In this context, the most dynamic regions of the globe, China and the Asian countries, could make use of their large financial and technological surpluses, accumulated during the last decades, to boost with greater strength both global economy and institutionalism. The Chinese initiative for the construction of a "New Silk Road" is offering the world a different leadership approach –focused on the construction of infrastructure and the unification of acts of willingness to make multiple projects come true, mostly in developing countries– that enables new political spaces to expand multilateralism and fill-up the gaps left by the US.
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美国领导地位的下降。哦。随着特朗普和中国崛起成为全球多边主义的选择
本文研究了布雷顿森林协定所产生的全球领导力如何经历了一个衰败的过程,2008年的金融危机和美国、日本和欧盟经济的脆弱性证明了这一点,它们对世界经济的重要性已经减弱。与此同时,特朗普总统助长了多边主义的崩溃,从而破坏了他的国家自二战以来一直发挥的全球领导作用。此外,布雷顿森林体系所建立的多边金融机构由于其资本结构的限制和资源的稀缺性,其灵活性不足以刺激发展中国家的经济。在这种背景下,全球最具活力的地区,中国和亚洲国家,可以利用它们在过去几十年中积累的大量财政和技术盈余,以更大的力度推动全球经济和制度主义。中国建设“新丝绸之路”的倡议为世界提供了一种不同的领导方式——聚焦于基础设施建设,并将实现多个项目的意愿统一起来,主要是在发展中国家——这为扩大多边主义提供了新的政治空间,填补了美国留下的空白。
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