Two-stage Optimal Risk Management of Large Electricity Consumer Using Second-order Stochastic Dominance

Ramin Nourollahi, Saman Mazaheri-Khamaneh, B. Mohammadi-ivatloo, K. Zare, A. Anvari‐Moghaddam, Z. Abdul-Malek
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Abstract

Various energy consumers, such as large energy consumers (LEC), are targeted to procure the demanded energy from various power markets such as the pool market and different energy resources, including renewable energy resources (RES), and conventional energy resources optimize the traded energy. In this article, a novel decision-making framework is proposed to schedule the LEC. The proposed technique in this article is based on the second-order stochastic dominance (SSD) to investigate the uncertainty in the total operation cost of the LEC. It is assumed that the market price, pool price, electricity load, and the power output of renewable energy sources (RES), including PV and WT, are uncertain parameters. In the proposed SSD-constrained stochastic programming, demand response programming (DRP) is provided to decrease the operation cost of the LEC. A case study is used to illustrate the effectiveness and efficiency of the novel SSD approach. According to the simulation results, the operation cost of LEC is remarkably decreased from $62,960 to $59,550 in the risk-neutral case (without including risk factor) and SSD case (worst case) with considering DRP, respectively.
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基于二阶随机优势的大电力用户两阶段最优风险管理
各种能源消费者,如大型能源消费者(LEC),有针对性地从各种电力市场(如池市场)和不同的能源(包括可再生能源(RES)和常规能源)中获取所需的能源,优化交易的能源。本文提出了一种新的LEC调度决策框架。本文提出了一种基于二阶随机优势(SSD)的方法来研究LEC总运行成本的不确定性。假设可再生能源(包括光伏和WT)的市场价格、池价、电力负荷和输出功率为不确定参数。在基于ssd约束的随机规划中,为了降低LEC的运行成本,引入了需求响应规划(DRP)。通过实例分析,说明了该方法的有效性和高效性。仿真结果表明,考虑DRP的风险中性情况(不考虑风险因素)和SSD情况(最坏情况)下,LEC的运行成本分别从62960美元和59550美元显著降低。
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