The Victims of Progress

J. François, D. Nelson
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Abstract

In this paper we demonstrate that intra-industry trade (or FDI) between identical countries could produce the observed deterioration in the relative wages of unskilled workers. This involves a model of North-North integration through either increased trade flows or increased MNE-based production. Our motivation in this regard is arguments to the effect that trade cannot be responsible for the observed labour market trends because trade with developing countries is quantitatively too small to have significant labour market effects. We also introduce a relatively unexploited class of model that possesses attractive properties with respect to the explicit incorporation of firm-theoretic considerations in trade models. Victims of Progress: Economic Integration, Specialization, and Wages for Unskilled Labor ABSTRACT: In this paper we demonstrate that intra-industry trade (or FDI) between identical countries could produce the observed deterioration in the relative wages of unskilled workers. This involves a model of North-North integration through either increased trade flows or increased MNE-based production. Our motivation in this regard is arguments to the effect that trade cannot be responsible for the observed labour market trends because trade with developing countries is quantitatively too small to have significant labour market effects. We also introduce a relatively unexploited class of model that possesses attractive properties with respect to the explicit incorporation of firm-theoretic considerations in trade models. In this paper we demonstrate that intra-industry trade (or FDI) between identical countries could produce the observed deterioration in the relative wages of unskilled workers. This involves a model of North-North integration through either increased trade flows or increased MNE-based production. Our motivation in this regard is arguments to the effect that trade cannot be responsible for the observed labour market trends because trade with developing countries is quantitatively too small to have significant labour market effects. We also introduce a relatively unexploited class of model that possesses attractive properties with respect to the explicit incorporation of firm-theoretic considerations in trade models.
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在本文中,我们证明了相同国家之间的产业内贸易(或FDI)可以产生观察到的非技术工人相对工资的恶化。这涉及通过增加贸易流量或增加跨国公司生产来实现南北一体化的模式。我们在这方面的动机是这样的论点,即贸易不能对观察到的劳动力市场趋势负责,因为与发展中国家的贸易在数量上太小,无法对劳动力市场产生重大影响。我们还介绍了一类相对未开发的模型,它在明确地将企业理论考虑纳入贸易模型方面具有吸引人的特性。摘要:本文证明了相同国家之间的产业内贸易(或FDI)会导致非熟练工人相对工资的明显恶化。这涉及通过增加贸易流量或增加跨国公司生产来实现南北一体化的模式。我们在这方面的动机是这样的论点,即贸易不能对观察到的劳动力市场趋势负责,因为与发展中国家的贸易在数量上太小,无法对劳动力市场产生重大影响。我们还介绍了一类相对未开发的模型,它在明确地将企业理论考虑纳入贸易模型方面具有吸引人的特性。在本文中,我们证明了相同国家之间的产业内贸易(或FDI)可以产生观察到的非技术工人相对工资的恶化。这涉及通过增加贸易流量或增加跨国公司生产来实现南北一体化的模式。我们在这方面的动机是这样的论点,即贸易不能对观察到的劳动力市场趋势负责,因为与发展中国家的贸易在数量上太小,无法对劳动力市场产生重大影响。我们还介绍了一类相对未开发的模型,它在明确地将企业理论考虑纳入贸易模型方面具有吸引人的特性。
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