Determinants of Private Investment in Nigeria

E. I. Ajudua
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Abstract

This study investigates the determinants of private investment in Nigeria. Employing time series data for the period 1990 to 2020 gotten from the Central  Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin and World Development Indicators, the Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL) and the Error  Correction Mechanism estimation techniques were used to test private investment as the dependent variable and interest rate, money supply, credit to  the private sector, inflation rate, and regulatory quality index as the independent variables. The results showed that all variables were correctly signed,  and had statistical significance in explaining private investment in Nigeria during the period of study. The study, therefore, encouraged low interest rates  to support and enhance lending to the private sector needed for investments, a control of rising inflation rate, monetary authorities developing and  implementing policies to increase credit allocated to the private sector, creating and implementing sound policies and laws to support and encourage   private sector development as recommendations.
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尼日利亚私人投资的决定因素
本研究调查了尼日利亚私人投资的决定因素。采用尼日利亚中央银行《统计公报》和《世界发展指标》1990 - 2020年的时间序列数据,采用自回归分布滞后模型(ARDL)和误差修正机制估计技术,以私人投资为因变量,利率、货币供应量、私营部门信贷、通货膨胀率和监管质量指数为自变量进行检验。结果表明,所有变量都正确签名,对解释研究期间尼日利亚的私人投资具有统计学意义。因此,这项研究鼓励采用低利率来支持和加强对投资所需的私营部门的贷款,控制不断上升的通货膨胀率,货币当局制定和执行政策以增加分配给私营部门的信贷,制定和执行健全的政策和法律以支持和鼓励私营部门的发展。
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