Dampak Kondisi Makroekonomi terhadap Deposito Perbankan Syariah di Indonesia

Zaki Abdullah, Iman Sugema, Asep Nurhalim
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Abstract

Changes in macroeconomic conditions have an impact towards financial industry, particularly in the banking industry. This research aims to look at the impact of global financial crisis and macreconomic variables towards the total deposits of Islamic banking in Indonesia with the VECM method. The period of this study using monthly data from January 2006 until December 2016. The results showed that the global financial crisis has no effect towards the total deposits of Islamic banking in Indonesia. Then, based on the analysis of Impulse Response Function (IRF), the response of total deposits of Islamic banking in Indonesia towards inflation, equivalent rate and lending rate is positive. While the shocks level of conventional banking interest rate and industrial growth is negatively responded by total deposits in Islamic banking. The Forecast Error Variance Decomposition (FEVD) analysis results showed that equivalent rate and interest rate offered by each banking system give most contributed among other variables.
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宏观经济状况对印尼伊斯兰银行存款的影响
宏观经济条件的变化对金融业,特别是银行业产生了影响。本研究旨在用VECM方法研究全球金融危机和宏观经济变量对印度尼西亚伊斯兰银行总存款的影响。本研究期间使用的月度数据从2006年1月至2016年12月。结果表明,全球金融危机对印尼伊斯兰银行的总存款没有影响。然后,根据脉冲响应函数(IRF)的分析,印度尼西亚伊斯兰银行的总存款对通货膨胀、等值利率和贷款利率的响应是正的。传统银行利率和工业增长的冲击水平受到伊斯兰银行存款总额的负面影响。预测误差方差分解(FEVD)分析结果表明,各银行系统提供的等效利率和利率在其他变量中贡献最大。
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