A Market-Based Study of the Cost of Default

S. Davydenko, Ilya A. Strebulaev, Xiaofei Zhao
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引用次数: 172

Abstract

This article proposes a novel method of extracting the cost of default from the change in the market value of a firm's assets upon default. Using a large sample of firms with observed prices of debt and equity that defaulted over fourteen years, we estimate the cost of default for an average defaulting firm to be 21.7% of the market value of assets. The costs vary from 14.7% for bond renegotiations to 30.5% for bankruptcies, and are substantially higher for investment-grade firms (28.8%) than for highly levered bond issuers (20.2%), which extant estimates are based on exclusively. (JEL G21, G30, G33) The Author 2012. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of The Society for Financial Studies. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com., Oxford University Press.
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违约成本的市场化研究
本文提出了一种从企业资产市场价值变化中提取违约成本的新方法。通过对14年来违约的公司的债务和股权价格进行观察,我们估计平均违约公司的违约成本为资产市场价值的21.7%。成本从债券重新谈判的14.7%到破产的30.5%不等,投资级公司的成本(28.8%)远远高于高杠杆债券发行人的成本(20.2%),目前的估计完全基于高杠杆债券发行人。(JEL G21, G30, G33)作者2012。牛津大学出版社代表金融研究学会出版。版权所有。有关许可,请发送电子邮件:journals.permissions@oup.com.,牛津大学出版社。
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