FARMER’S INCOME RISK AND RISK MANAGEMENT BY CROSS-HEDGING: A NOTE

Udo Broll, Andreas Förster, K. Wong
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Abstract

The purpose of this study is to provide theoretical insights into the optimal hedging strategies in farmers contracts usage. We study the hedging decisions of a risk-averse farmer. The farmer faces multiple sources of price uncertainty. Cross-hedging is plausible in that one of these two commodities has a futures market. We show that the farmer’s optimal futures market position is a fullhedge, an over-hedge, or an under-hedge, depending on whether the two random prices are strongly positively correlated, uncorrelated, or negatively correlated, respectively.
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农户收入风险与交叉套期保值风险管理研究
本研究的目的是为农民契约使用中的最优套期保值策略提供理论见解。我们研究了一个风险厌恶型农民的对冲决策。农民面临着价格不确定性的多重来源。交叉对冲是合理的,因为这两种商品中的一种有期货市场。我们证明了农民的最优期货市场头寸是完全对冲、过度对冲或对冲不足,这取决于两个随机价格分别是强正相关、不相关还是负相关。
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