A Game Theoretic Approach to assessing Additive Manufacturing as a Strategic Choice

Mudassar Ahmed, K. Chan, D. McFarlane
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

This paper studies the impact of demand uncertainty and competition on a firms technology selection decision between Additive Manufacturing (AM) and conventional tool-based Dedicated Manufacturing (DM). The paper uses the game-theoretic approach presented in [57], and extends the model from 2 to n players making three sequential decisions under demand uncertainty: (i) choice of technology, (ii) capacity investment, and (iii) production quantities. We find that the conventional wisdom of choosing between flexible manufacturing technology and dedicated tool-based technology holds in the case of AM given there is no demand uncertainty. However, once we take the demand uncertainty into account, a game-theoretical analysis is essential to examine the profitability of switching manufacturing technologies to AM. The research will contribute towards a future empirical study and will help develop an industrially accessible decision support tool for the adoption of AM in a production environment.
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一种评估增材制造战略选择的博弈论方法
本文研究了需求不确定性和竞争对增材制造(AM)和传统工具专用制造(DM)技术选择决策的影响。本文采用[57]提出的博弈论方法,将模型从2个参与者扩展到n个参与者,在需求不确定性下做出三个顺序决策:(i)技术选择,(ii)产能投资,(iii)生产数量。我们发现,在没有需求不确定性的增材制造情况下,在柔性制造技术和专用工具技术之间进行选择的传统智慧仍然成立。然而,一旦我们考虑到需求的不确定性,博弈论分析是必不可少的,以检查转换制造技术到AM的盈利能力。该研究将有助于未来的实证研究,并将有助于开发一个工业上可访问的决策支持工具,用于在生产环境中采用AM。
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