Trade Induced Employment Function and Employment Multiplier: A Case Study in Indo-Myanmar Border Trade

Mayengbam Lalit Singh
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Abstract

The wave of globalization had started winding since the late 1980’s in many countries of the world. This led to a structural change in different sectors of economy in different parts of the world. One of such sectors is external sector which remained closed in many countries specially socialist countries for many decades. Many countries have started adopting export as engine of economic growth, and, import as means to acquire technological know-how and capital goods for promoting export sector. India’s economy which had been under the License Raj for almost four decades, however, by the turn of 1990s, India had been in the new wave of globalization. As a part of project globalization, India adopted “Look East Policy” for opening up its economy to those neighbouring South East Asian countries. Under this policy, India signed the Indo-Myanmar Border Trade agreement on 21st January, 1994 with Myanmar in view of the needs and demand of the people of the North East India. However, border trade along the Indo-Myanmar border has been being witnessed trading of both formal and informal goods simultaneously. Therefore, this paper examines exclusively the items under informal trade; the institutional factors behind this informal trade; methodologies; employment function and employment multiplier.
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贸易诱导就业功能与就业乘数——以印缅边境贸易为例
自20世纪80年代末以来,全球化浪潮在世界许多国家开始蔓延。这导致了世界不同地区不同经济部门的结构性变化。其中一个部门是对外部门,在许多国家,特别是社会主义国家,对外部门几十年来一直是封闭的。许多国家已开始采用出口作为经济增长的动力,并将进口作为获取技术知识和资本货物以促进出口部门的手段。印度的经济在许可证制度下生活了近40年,然而,到20世纪90年代初,印度已经处于全球化的新浪潮中。作为全球化项目的一部分,印度采取了“向东看政策”,向邻近的东南亚国家开放经济。根据这一政策,鉴于印度东北部人民的需要和要求,印度于1994年1月21日与缅甸签署了《印缅边境贸易协定》。然而,沿印缅边境的边境贸易已经见证了正式和非正式商品的同时交易。因此,本文只考察非正式贸易下的项目;非正规贸易背后的制度因素;方法;就业函数与就业乘数。
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