Land use dynamic monitoring and assessment of core urban districts in Chongqing

Lifen Zhu, Yongzhong Tian
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Abstract

With the rapid socio-conomic development and urbanization acceleration, obvious changes of land use have happened every year in Chongqing. The concerns on the land use dynamic monitoring and assessment by policy makers are rising. The overall objectives of this study are to monitor and examine the major determinants of land use changes of core urban districts in Chongqing. Based on the land use survey information derived from airscapes in 2005, as well as that in 1996 and the land use update data from 1997 to 2004, the land use dynamic database of core urban districts in Chongqing is built, then the land use dynamic analysis is carried out. It shows that the built up area has risen 27.6 percent and cultivated land has decreased 27.5 percent from 1996 to 2005. In this study, a system of econometric model on the changes of built up area and cultivated land has been developed, it was empirically estimated based on remote sensing data of land use and a unique set of data collected by authors on economic development and policies that have driven land use pattern changes of core urban districts in Chongqing. The results of this study indicate that economy growth, urbanization acceleration, the regional development and functional zone policy are key factors that have been driving land use changes of core urban districts in Chongqing. The paper concludes with a set of policy recommendations on harmonizing Chongqing's urban development and cultivated land protection.
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重庆核心区土地利用动态监测与评价
随着经济社会的快速发展和城市化进程的加快,重庆土地利用每年都发生着明显的变化。决策者对土地利用动态监测与评估的关注日益增加。本研究的总体目标是监测和检验重庆核心区土地利用变化的主要决定因素。基于2005年、1996年和1997 ~ 2004年的土地利用更新数据,建立了重庆市核心城区土地利用动态数据库,并进行了土地利用动态分析。从1996年到2005年,建设面积增加了27.6%,耕地减少了27.5%。本文基于土地利用遥感数据和作者收集的一组独特数据,对重庆市核心区土地利用格局变化的经济发展和政策驱动因素进行了实证估算,构建了一套关于建成区和耕地变化的计量模型。研究结果表明,经济增长、城市化进程加快、区域发展和功能区政策是驱动重庆核心区土地利用变化的关键因素。最后,提出了协调重庆市城市发展与耕地保护的政策建议。
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