Determinan Produk Domestik Bruto di Provinsi Bali Tahun 2014-2019

Desak Ari Gita Wahyuni, Masruri Muchtar, P. Sihombing
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Abstract

This study aims to analyze the components of the Human Development Index on Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) in Bali during the 2014-2019 period. The data used are time series and cross section obtained and processed from the Central Bureau of Statistics. Through a quantitative descriptive approach, this study uses multiple linear regression methods on panel data with the selected estimation model being the Fixed Effect Model. The results showed that the dependent variable of GRDP could be explained by independent variables by 92.03 percent and 7.97 percent of it was influenced by other variables outside this research model. Mean Years School and Life Expectancy variable have a positive effect on GRDP while the Labor Force Participation Rate variable has a negative and insignificant effect on GRDP. Government policies are needed to support equitable distribution of human development in each region
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本研究旨在分析2014-2019年期间巴厘地区生产总值(GRDP)人类发展指数的组成部分。所使用的数据为从中央统计局获取并处理的时间序列和截面数据。本研究通过定量描述的方法,对面板数据采用多元线性回归方法,选取的估计模型为固定效应模型。结果表明,GRDP的因变量可被自变量解释的比例为92.03%,受本研究模型外其他变量影响的比例为7.97%。平均受教育年数和预期寿命变量对GRDP有正向影响,而劳动力参与率变量对GRDP有不显著的负向影响。需要政府的政策来支持每个区域人力发展的公平分配
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