Introduction: Priorities for the Strategic Development of the Global Economic System Until 2030

E. Popkova, A. Bogoviz
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Abstract

The year 2030 is a significant timeline for the development of the modern global economic system. The first decade of the 21 century showed that at that time the trends established in the 20 century were still strong, including intensive globalization and the active development of financial markets. It ended with the global financial and economic crisis that began in 2008, which demonstrated the inadmissibility of relying on outdated development mechanisms and served as a prerequisite for launching a new trend. It prevailed in the second decade of the 21 century and is associated with the active digitalization of society, economy, state and international relations. Although digitalization itself deserves a positive interpretation, the approach is taken to its implementation, which assumed the technocratization of society, and the economy is associated with a serious drawback – the distance between humanity and nature. As a result, this decade ended with the COVID-19 pandemic and global socio-economic crisis. Against the background of continuing crisis phenomena in the world economy, the question of what future awaits it in the third decade of the 21 century is urgent. This book is devoted to finding an answer to this question. For this, firstly, it defines the priorities for the strategic development of the global economic system until 2030. The most obvious priority is the crisis-free development of the world economy at least until 2030. The stable pattern of completion of each of the past decades of the 21 century with global crises needs to be refracted. The world economy demonstrates a too slow rate of growth and development to meet the needs of the growing population of the Earth and the progressing Consumption Society. The global recession in 2020 against the backdrop of the COVID-19 pandemic has significantly increased social tensions in all countries, and the world community is in dire need of a decade of stability and accelerated economic growth. The consequences of the industrial development of the global economy in the 20 century and neo-industrialization against the backdrop of the Fourth Industrial Revolution in the second decade of the 21 century increased environmental problems. It is unacceptable to postpone their solution because, in the third decade of the 21 century, the risk of a global environmental crisis is unusually strong. Therefore, strict and universal adherence to the Sustainable Development Goals is another priority. Finally, another obvious priority is the search for a new harmony in the international relations, which, according to most experts, crossed the line of “healthy” competition and resulted in an open confrontation between countries. The principles of free trade need to be rethought as well as the approach to international
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导言:《到2030年全球经济体系战略发展的优先事项》
2030年是现代全球经济体系发展的重要时期。21世纪的第一个十年表明,当时20世纪确立的趋势仍然强劲,包括全球化的加剧和金融市场的积极发展。以2008年爆发的全球金融经济危机告终,表明不能再依赖过时的发展机制,也为新潮流的兴起提供了条件。它盛行于21世纪第二个十年,与社会、经济、国家和国际关系的积极数字化有关。虽然数字化本身值得一个积极的解释,但它的实施方式,假设了社会的技术官僚化,而经济与一个严重的缺点——人与自然之间的距离。因此,这十年以2019冠状病毒病大流行和全球社会经济危机结束。在世界经济危机现象持续的背景下,21世纪第三个十年等待着它的未来是一个紧迫的问题。这本书致力于寻找这个问题的答案。为此,第一,确定了到2030年全球经济体系战略发展的优先方向。最明显的优先事项是至少在2030年之前实现世界经济的无危机发展。在21世纪过去的几十年里,每一次全球危机都以稳定的模式结束,这种模式需要得到反思。世界经济的增长和发展速度太慢,无法满足地球上不断增长的人口和不断进步的消费社会的需要。2019冠状病毒病大流行背景下的2020年全球经济衰退,大大加剧了各国的社会紧张局势,国际社会迫切需要一个稳定和加速经济增长的十年。20世纪全球经济的工业发展和21世纪第二个十年第四次工业革命背景下的新工业化的后果加剧了环境问题。推迟解决这些问题是不可接受的,因为在21世纪的第三个十年,发生全球环境危机的风险异常之大。因此,严格和普遍遵守可持续发展目标是另一个优先事项。最后,另一个明显的优先事项是在国际关系中寻求新的和谐,大多数专家认为,这种关系越过了"健康"竞争的界限,导致了国家之间的公开对抗。自由贸易的原则需要重新思考,国际贸易的方式也需要重新思考
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