FERTILITY CHANGE IN TÜRKİYE: RISKS AND OPPORTUNITIES IN TERMS OF SOCIAL POLICY

Bilal Coşan
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Abstract

nges can be the decisive factor in the change of total fertility rate. In this context, many developments such as the increase in the educated population, the increase in female employment rates, urbanization, the increase in the rate of people who have never been married, the increase in the average age at first marriage, the use of contraceptives, abortion practices, and the increasing cost of children are directly or indirectly effective in the decrease in the total fertility rate. Within this framework, the “demographic transition process” has been experienced rapidly in Türkiye and fertility has started to decline rapidly in the last fifty years. The decrease in the fertility rate brings many consequences in terms of demographic and socio-economic. The aim of this research is to discuss the causes and consequences of the change in the total fertility rate in Türkiye and to evaluate the possible risks and opportunities that may arise as a result of declining fertility. In the study, the relevant literature was reviewed. In this context, the general view of fertility in the world is evaluated first. Then, Türkiye's fertility change process is explained. As a result, despite the cultural and demographic transformation, it is foreseen that the negative effects of fertility can be mitigated with the policies and technological opportunities.
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tÜrkİye的生育率变化:社会政策方面的风险和机遇
新生儿是总生育率变化的决定性因素。在这种情况下,许多发展,如受教育人口的增加、女性就业率的增加、城市化、未婚人口比例的增加、初次结婚平均年龄的增加、避孕药具的使用、堕胎做法和儿童费用的增加,都直接或间接地有效地降低了总生育率。在这一框架内,日本迅速经历了“人口过渡过程”,过去五十年来生育率开始迅速下降。生育率的下降在人口和社会经济方面带来许多后果。这项研究的目的是讨论日本总生育率变化的原因和后果,并评估生育率下降可能带来的风险和机会。本研究对相关文献进行了综述。在此背景下,首先对世界生育率的总体看法进行评价。然后,解释了 rkiye的生育变化过程。因此,尽管发生了文化和人口变化,但可以预见,生育率的负面影响可以通过政策和技术机会加以减轻。
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