Evaluation of NASA POWER Climatic Data against Ground-Based Observations in The Mediterranean and Continental Regions of Turkey

A. Halimi, Cihan Karaca, D. Büyüktaş
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Abstract

The weather reanalysis datasets are very advantageous data types worldwide that fill the gaps of missed measuring data and are alternatives that compensate for the scarcity of observed climate data. The main purpose of this study was to evaluate the effect of horizontal distance, altitude, and climatic regions compared to sea level on NASA POWER reanalysis data for daily temperature variables, relative humidity, and wind speed observed in meteorology stations in the Mediterranean and Continental regions of Turkey. For this purpose, three different meteorology stations (Antalya airport, Elmalı, Teffenni) from the Mediterranean region with different distances and elevations compared to sea level and one station (Ankara) far from the Mediterranean region with continental climate were selected. The statistical approach used to compare observed and estimated values in this study was determination coefficient (R2), Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Normalized Root Mean Square Error (NRMSE), and Mean Bias Error (MBE). The results showed a high relation between the POWER reanalysis dataset and observed data for all parameters except wind speed. For daily maximum, minimum and mean temperature, the R2 and NSE achieved higher than 0.91 and 0.88 respectively, while the mean bias error MBE ranged between -3 °C up to +2 °C and the RMSE was less than 4 °C in all stations. Additionally, POWER estimated data correlation accuracy for temperature variables increased toward higher altitudes in the study area. Similarly, this performance was followed by relative humidity, increasing relation accuracy toward higher elevated regions. The R2 was higher than 0.69 in higher altitudes and less than 0.4 in lower elevations. The MBE for relative humidity ranges -2% in Antalya to +9% in Ankara, and the RMSE attained less than 13.81% in all regions. The POWER daily wind speed did not show relation with observed data without adjusting for elevation and seasonal bias correction. Overall, it was concluded that the NASA POWER dataset could predict temperature and relative humidity over study area and give a promising result if used in research, water, and agricultural decision-making where observation data are not available.
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对土耳其地中海和大陆地区地面观测的NASA POWER气候数据的评估
天气再分析数据集是世界范围内非常有利的数据类型,它填补了缺失的测量数据的空白,是补偿观测气候数据短缺的替代方案。本研究的主要目的是评估水平距离、海拔高度和与海平面相比的气候区域对NASA POWER再分析数据的影响,这些数据包括地中海和土耳其大陆地区气象站观测到的日温度变量、相对湿度和风速。为此,选择了三个不同的气象站(安塔利亚机场、埃尔马利伊、特芬尼),这些气象站来自距离和海拔与海平面相比不同的地中海地区,一个气象站(安卡拉)远离地中海地区,属于大陆性气候。比较本研究观测值与估计值的统计方法为决定系数(R2)、纳什-苏特克里夫效率(NSE)、均方根误差(RMSE)、归一化均方根误差(NRMSE)和平均偏倚误差(MBE)。结果表明,除风速外,POWER再分析数据与观测数据具有较高的相关性。日最高、最低和平均气温的R2和NSE分别大于0.91和0.88,平均偏置误差MBE在-3 ~ +2℃之间,RMSE小于4℃。此外,POWER估计温度变量的数据相关精度在研究区域越高越高。同样,相对湿度紧随其后,增加了对较高海拔地区的关系准确性。高海拔R2大于0.69,低海拔R2小于0.4。安塔利亚相对湿度的MBE在-2% ~ +9%之间,所有地区的RMSE均小于13.81%。在不考虑海拔和季节偏差校正的情况下,POWER日风速与观测数据没有相关性。总的来说,得出的结论是,NASA POWER数据集可以预测研究区域的温度和相对湿度,如果将其用于没有观测数据的研究、水和农业决策中,则会给出一个有希望的结果。
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