Research on Bearing Life Trend Prediction Method Based on Principal Component Analysis and Grey Model

M. Hailong, Li Zhen
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Abstract

To predict the bearing residual life by using the characteristic index of vibration signal, the principal component analysis (PCA), the method is proposed to remove the redundancy and correlation between many characteristic indexes, to achieve the purpose of dimensionality reduction. The first principal component is used as the degenerate characteristic quantity to describe the bearing residual life, and the degenerate characteristic sequence is formed. The grey model is trained with the degenerate feature sequence, and the changing trend of the degraded feature series is predicted by the trained grey model. It is verified by the actual life cycle vibration signal of the measured bearing. The results show that the method based on principal component analysis and the grey model can effectively predict the life of bearing.
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基于主成分分析和灰色模型的轴承寿命趋势预测方法研究
为了利用振动信号的特征指标——主成分分析(PCA)预测轴承剩余寿命,提出了一种去除多个特征指标之间冗余和相关性的方法,达到降维的目的。采用第一主成分作为退化特征量来描述轴承剩余寿命,形成退化特征序列。用退化特征序列训练灰色模型,并通过训练后的灰色模型预测退化特征序列的变化趋势。通过被测轴承的实际寿命周期振动信号进行验证。结果表明,基于主成分分析和灰色模型的方法可以有效地预测轴承寿命。
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