The Relationship Between Energy Consumption and Economic Growth

Dimas Bagus Wiranata, Masyhudi Muqorrobin
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Using a neo-classical one-sector aggregate production where energy is used as one inputs, the paper develops a vector error-correction (VEC) model to test for the existence and direction of causality between output growth and energy consumption in Malaysia. Using the Johansen co-integration technique, the empirical findings indicate that the long-run movements of output and energy do not exist by one co-integrating vector. Then using a VEC specification, the short-run dynamics of the variables indicate that Granger-causality is not running in both directions between output growth and energy consumption. Hence, those findings conform the presence of “neutral hypothesis theory” which imply Malaysia’s economic growth is not dependent highly upon energy consumption, and energy cannot be considered as a limiting factor to output growth in Malaysia.
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能源消费与经济增长的关系
本文采用新古典的单部门总生产模型,其中能源被用作一种投入,开发了一个矢量误差校正(VEC)模型,以检验马来西亚产出增长与能源消耗之间的因果关系的存在和方向。利用约翰森协整技术,实证结果表明,产量和能量的长期运动不存在一个协整向量。然后,使用VEC规范,变量的短期动态表明格兰杰因果关系不是在产出增长和能源消耗之间的两个方向上运行。因此,这些发现符合“中性假设理论”的存在,即马来西亚的经济增长并不高度依赖能源消耗,能源不能被视为马来西亚产出增长的限制因素。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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