Effect of Car Industry in US Stock Market during COVID-19 Based on Fama-French Five-Factor Model

Yubin Yang
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Abstract

The pandemic has created a severe global economic recession and destroyed many industries since it broke out at the beginning of 2020. However, many car enterprises had an outstanding performance last fiscal year. This paper applied Fama-French five-factor model to analyze the effect on the car industry under the pandemic. Based on the daily five-factor data (US car industry stocks) from Kenneth R. French's database, we select the corresponding 20-month data, with the outbreak point of March 1, 2020, as the dividing line. March 1, 2020, to December 31, 2020, is post-epidemic, while May 2019 to February 2020 is pre-epidemic. After regression analysis, it finds that COVID-19 has a dramatic effect on the car industry. With the development of the electric car, investors prefer to invest in emergent electric car companies. On the other hand, the electric car industry still has some urgent technology barriers. Investors should concentrate on the technology development of electric cars instead of blindly following the investment boom.
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基于Fama-French五因素模型的新冠肺炎期间汽车行业对美国股市的影响
自2020年初爆发以来,新冠肺炎疫情已造成严重的全球经济衰退,并摧毁了许多行业。然而,许多车企在上一财年表现出色。本文运用Fama-French五因素模型分析了疫情对汽车行业的影响。基于Kenneth R. French数据库的每日五因素数据(美国汽车行业股票),我们选择了相应的20个月数据,以2020年3月1日为爆发点作为分界线。2020年3月1日至12月31日为疫情后,2019年5月至2020年2月为疫情前。经过回归分析,发现新冠肺炎对汽车行业的影响很大。随着电动汽车的发展,投资者更倾向于投资新兴的电动汽车公司。另一方面,电动汽车行业仍存在一些亟待解决的技术壁垒。投资者不应盲目追随投资热潮,而应专注于电动汽车的技术开发。
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