Model Structure of Agent-Based Artificial Economic System Responsible for Reproducing Fundamental Economic Behavior of Goods Market

K. Takashima, Shigeaki Ogibayashi
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

Validation has been an important issue in using the ABM approach. It has been pointed out that deriving the necessary conditions for reproducing specific macro behavior is difficult due to the functional complexity of ABMs. However, based on the authors’ experience with ABMs, we believe it is possible to define the necessary conditions for reproducing each macro behavior by using the structure of the system to express the input conditions. In the present study, a series of computer experiments are conducted to verify this idea. The study analyzes business cycles and the effect of tax reductions on GDP as examples of fundamental macro behaviors of economic systems. The results indicate that the essential model structures for reproducing business cycles and the effects of tax reduction are credit creation for investment and factors relating to the efficiency of the government’s, household’s, and firms’ expenditures, respectively.
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负责再现商品市场基本经济行为的基于主体的人工经济系统模型结构
验证一直是使用ABM方法的一个重要问题。有人指出,由于ABMs的功能复杂性,很难推导出重现特定宏观行为的必要条件。然而,根据作者使用abm的经验,我们认为可以通过使用系统的结构来表示输入条件来定义再现每个宏行为的必要条件。在本研究中,进行了一系列的计算机实验来验证这一想法。该研究分析了商业周期和减税对GDP的影响,作为经济系统基本宏观行为的例子。研究结果表明,经济周期再现的基本模型结构和减税效应的基本模型结构分别是投资信贷创造和政府、家庭和企业支出效率相关因素。
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