Evaluation of Robust Estimation Methods in Estimating Weibull Parameters for Wind Energy Application

I. Arik, Y. Kantar, I. Usta, Ismail Yenilmez
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Two-parameter Weibull distribution has been widely-used reference distribution in wind energy studies and thus its parameter estimation methods have been well-studied in the literature. However, the literature have generally focused on non-robust methods which produce unreliable results in the cases of wind speed data with outliers. In this study, we deal with robust estimation methods of the Weibull distribution for wind energy applications. The considered robust methods are evaluated for both clear and contaminated real wind data cases. It was found that the considered robust methods provides reliable results when it is taken into account in the case of real wind speed data cases. Also, the certain robust methods for the Weibull distribution yield less mean power density error than classical methods in the case of wind speed data with outliers. As a result, it is deduced from analysis that robust methods can be simultaneously used with efficient estimators to check the estimated reliability of the results on wind power.
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风电应用中威布尔参数鲁棒估计方法的评价
双参数威布尔分布是风能研究中广泛使用的参考分布,其参数估计方法在文献中得到了很好的研究。然而,文献通常集中在非鲁棒方法上,这些方法在具有异常值的风速数据的情况下产生不可靠的结果。在本研究中,我们讨论了风能应用中威布尔分布的鲁棒估计方法。考虑的鲁棒方法评估了干净和污染的实际风数据的情况下。结果表明,当考虑到实际风速数据时,所考虑的鲁棒方法提供了可靠的结果。此外,对于具有异常值的风速数据,某些针对威布尔分布的鲁棒方法产生的平均功率密度误差比经典方法要小。分析结果表明,鲁棒方法可以与有效的估计器同时使用,以检验风电估计结果的可靠性。
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