Research on Blast Furnace Gas Flow Prediction Method Based on LSTM

Yaxian Zhang, Sen Zhang
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Abstract

The reliability prediction of time series of blast furnace gas flow is beneficial to the stable running of blast furnace condition. Aiming at the problem of gas flow time series prediction, this paper proposes a single-step prediction and multi-step prediction based on LSTM algorithm. Firstly, the original data is preprocessed, such as outlier processing and denoising processing of Fourier Transform, so as to reduce the prediction error. Secondly, it will finish single-step prediction and multi-step prediction by adopting LSTM algorithm. Finally, it evaluates the performance of LSTM prediction model. The experiments show that the accuracy of LSTM prediction is high, but the single-step prediction takes a long time; however, in the process of blast furnace gas flow prediction, the time parameter is an indispensable characteristic. Considering comprehensively, the LSTM multi-step prediction shows a better prediction effect, which provides a reliable reference for the stable operation of blast furnace.
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基于LSTM的高炉煤气流量预测方法研究
高炉煤气流量时间序列的可靠性预测有利于高炉工况的稳定运行。针对气体流量时间序列预测问题,提出了基于LSTM算法的单步预测和多步预测。首先对原始数据进行预处理,如进行离群值处理和傅里叶变换去噪处理,以减小预测误差;其次,采用LSTM算法完成单步预测和多步预测。最后,对LSTM预测模型的性能进行了评价。实验表明,LSTM预测精度高,但单步预测耗时长;然而,在高炉煤气流量预测过程中,时间参数是一个不可缺少的特征。综合考虑,LSTM多步预测具有较好的预测效果,为高炉的稳定运行提供了可靠的参考。
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