Toronado risk analysis

Christine Rutch, K. J. Anselmo, R. E. Linney, J. H. Sheesley
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

The object of this analysis was to estimate the frequency of tornadoes with certain wind speeds hitting areas of concern, and to display this information easily and understandably. The results serve as a tool for risk analysis and loss prevention for industrial complexes, which can have large structures that are vulnerable to tornado destruction. A database containing detailed information about 31,000 tornadoes occurring across the U.S.A., was obtained. The frequency, total damaged area, and wind speed of tornadoes occurring across the country were calculated from the historical data. This information was used to quantify the risk of tornado occurrence. The results were reported on a color-coded map detailing the probabilities in 1° × 1° areas, where they can be easily understood and distributed.
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多伦多风险分析
这项分析的目的是估计龙卷风在一定风速下袭击相关地区的频率,并将这些信息简单易懂地显示出来。该结果可作为工业园区风险分析和损失预防的工具,这些工业园区可能具有易受龙卷风破坏的大型结构。获得了一个包含美国各地发生的31000次龙卷风详细信息的数据库。根据历史资料计算了全国发生龙卷风的频率、总破坏面积和风速。这些信息被用来量化龙卷风发生的风险。结果报告在一个彩色编码的地图上,详细说明了1°× 1°区域的概率,在那里它们可以很容易地理解和分布。
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