Real Time Rainfall Monitoring for Pipeline Geohazards

G. Ferris, P. Grover, Aron Zahradka
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Abstract

Oil and gas pipelines are subjected to multiple types of geohazards which cause pipeline failures (loss of containment); two of the most common types occur at watercourse crossings and at landslides. At watercourse crossings, the most common geohazard which causes pipeline failures is flooding during which excessive scour may result in the exposure of the buried pipeline and if the exposure results in a free spanning pipeline, then this may fail due to fatigue caused by cyclic loading from vortex-induced vibration. Fortunately the free span length and water velocity combinations that lead to failure can be defined and can be used to identify the flood discharge that should be monitored for in order to trigger actions to manage the hazard and avoid failure. Most watercourse crossings in a pipeline network are on ungauged watercourses and necessitate the use of a proxy gauged watercourse. The “proxy” gauged watercourse is used to infer whether flooding is occurring on the ungauged crossing, and the owner can take appropriate actions. Often the proxy gauged watercourse is too far away or the watercourse may not be representative of the crossing of concern (e.g. large difference in the drainage areas). Real-time rainfall data can be used in conjunction with streamflow monitoring to determine when extreme precipitation has occurred within the ungauged watercourses catchment which may result in flooding. Where pipelines cross landslide prone areas, large scale movements can be initiated, or slow on-going movement rates increased when extreme rainfall occurs. The definition of the extreme rainfall event for slope sites is the key component of providing a suitable warning of potentially dangerous conditions; shallow slides can be caused by short term events from sub-hourly to 3 day duration precipitation events whereas large deep seated (creeping) landslides can be driven by annual and intra-annual rainfall amounts. Monitoring of real time rainfall can be used to determine when extreme rainfall occurs at a landslide site. The density of in-situ weather stations collecting real-time rainfall data prevents the application along remote sections of pipeline routes and within large sections of Canada. Gridded real time rainfall from quantitative precipitation estimations which integrate a multiple data sources including in-situ, numerical weather prediction, satellite and weather radar, can be used to overcome this problem and provide warnings when pre-determined rainfall thresholds are exceeded on a site-specific basis.
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管道地质灾害实时降雨监测
石油和天然气管道受到多种类型的地质灾害的影响,这些地质灾害导致管道失效(泄漏);最常见的两种类型发生在水道交叉处和山体滑坡处。在水道交叉点,最常见的导致管道失效的地质灾害是洪水,在洪水期间,过度冲刷可能导致埋地管道暴露,如果暴露导致自由跨越管道,则可能由于涡激振动引起的循环载荷引起的疲劳而失效。幸运的是,可以定义导致破坏的自由跨度长度和水流速度组合,并可用于确定应该监测的洪水流量,以便触发管理危害和避免破坏的行动。管道网络中的大多数水道交叉点都在未测量的水道上,因此需要使用替代测量的水道。“代理”测量的水道用于推断未测量的渡口是否发生洪水,业主可以采取适当的行动。通常,替代测量的水道距离太远,或水道可能不能代表所关注的交叉(例如,排水区域差异很大)。实时降雨数据可以与流量监测结合使用,以确定在未测量的水道集水区何时发生可能导致洪水的极端降水。当管道穿过滑坡易发地区时,可以启动大规模的移动,或者在极端降雨发生时增加缓慢的持续移动速率。斜坡极端降雨事件的定义是提供潜在危险情况的适当警告的关键组成部分;浅层滑坡可由短时降水事件引起,如亚小时至3天持续降水事件,而大型深层滑坡(蠕变)可由年和年内降雨量驱动。实时降雨监测可用于确定滑坡现场何时发生极端降雨。收集实时降雨数据的现场气象站的密度阻碍了管道路线的偏远路段和加拿大大片地区的应用。定量降水估算的网格化实时降雨整合了多个数据源,包括现场、数值天气预报、卫星和气象雷达,可用于克服这一问题,并在特定地点超过预先确定的降雨阈值时提供警报。
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