User behaviour analysis and churn prediction in ISP

A. Turkmen, Cenk Anil Bahcevan, Youssef Alkhanafseh, Esra Karabiyik
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Abstract

There is no doubt that customer retention is vital for the service sector as companies’ revenue is significantly based on their customers’ financial returns. The prediction of customers who are at the risk of leaving a company’s services is not possible without using their connection details, support tickets and network traffic usage data. This paper demonstrates the importance of data mining and its outcome in the telecommunication area. The data in this paper are collected from different sources like Net Flow logs, call records and DNS query logs. These different types of data are aggregated together to decrease the missing information. Finally, machine learning algorithms are evaluated based on the customer dataset. The results of this study indicate that the gradient boosting algorithm performs better than other machine learning algorithms for this dataset.   Keywords: Data analysis, customer satisfaction, subscriber churn, machine learning, telecommunication.
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ISP用户行为分析与流失预测
毫无疑问,客户保留对服务行业至关重要,因为公司的收入在很大程度上取决于客户的财务回报。如果不使用客户的连接详细信息、支持票据和网络流量使用数据,就不可能预测哪些客户有离开公司服务的风险。本文阐述了数据挖掘的重要性及其在电信领域的成果。本文的数据来源于Net Flow日志、呼叫记录和DNS查询日志等不同来源。这些不同类型的数据被聚合在一起,以减少丢失的信息。最后,基于客户数据集对机器学习算法进行评估。本研究的结果表明,梯度增强算法在该数据集上的表现优于其他机器学习算法。关键词:数据分析,客户满意度,用户流失,机器学习,电信。
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